000 02455cam  2200337za 4500
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008170523s2017    onc     ob   f000 0 eng d
040 |aCaOODSP|beng
041 |aeng|bfre
043 |an-cn---
0861 |aFB3-5/2017-18E-PDF
1001 |aAlexander, Patrick D.
24514|aThe welfare effects of protection |h[electronic resource] : |ba general equilibrium analysis of Canada’s national policy / |cby Patrick D. Alexander and Ian Keay.
24630|aGeneral equilibrium analysis of Canada’s national policy
260 |a[Ottawa] : |bBank of Canada, |c2017.
300 |aiii, 25 p.
4901 |aBank of Canada staff working paper, |x1701-9397 ; |v2017-18
500 |a"May 2017."
504 |aIncludes bibliographical references (20-22).
5203 |a“In this paper, we study the impact of Canada’s adoption of protectionist trade policy in 1879 on Canadian welfare. Under the National Policy the Canadian average weighted tariff increased from 14% to 21%. The conventional view is that this was a distortionary policy that negatively affected Canadian welfare. We argue that this view is incomplete because it ignores general equilibrium effects. Using a multi-industry general equilibrium model with differentiated goods, we show that the welfare effects of tariffs can potentially be positive, even for small open economies, due to their impact on the terms of trade. We apply these theoretical insights in a reassessment of the welfare consequences of the National Policy for Canada using newly compiled granular trade and production data from 1870 to 1913, and newly estimated historically contemporaneous import demand elasticities. Our results suggest that the National Policy’s tariff changes actually improved Canadian welfare by between 0.13% to 0.20% of gross domestic product, although a multilateral move to free trade would have resulted in an even better welfare outcome for Canadians"--Abstract, p. ii.
546 |aIncludes abstract in French.
69207|2gccst|aTariffs
69207|2gccst|aTrade policy
69207|2gccst|aModelling
7001 |aKeay, Ian E. M., |d1969-
7102 |aBank of Canada.
830#0|aStaff working paper (Bank of Canada)|x1701-9397 ; |v2017-18|w(CaOODSP)9.806221
85640|qPDF|s1.37 MB|uhttps://publications.gc.ca/collections/collection_2017/banque-bank-canada/FB3-5-2017-18-eng.pdf