The psychology of Bayesian reasoning: D69-48/2014E-PDF

"Most psychological research on Bayesian reasoning since the 1970s has used a type of problem that tests a certain kind of statistical reasoning performance. The subject is given statistical facts within a hypothetical scenario. Those facts include a base-rate statistic and one or two diagnostic probabilities. The subject is meant to use that information to arrive at a “posterior” probability estimate"--p. [1].

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Department/Agency Defence R&D Canada. Toronto Research Centre.
Title The psychology of Bayesian reasoning
Publication Type Monograph
Language [English]
Format Electronic
Electronic Document

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Date [2014]
Number of Pages [7] p.
Catalogue Number
  • D69-48/2014E-PDF
Subject Terms Statistical analysis