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008171127s2017    oncd   #ob   f000 0 eng d
040 |aCaOODSP|beng
041 |aeng|bfre
043 |an-cn---
0861 |aFB3-7/2017-7E-PDF
1001 |aBarnett, Russell A.
24512|aA structural interpretation of the recent weakness in business investment |h[electronic resource] / |cby Russell Barnett and Rhys Mendes.
260 |aOttawa : |bBank of Canada, |cc2017.
300 |aiv, 14 p. : |bgraphs
4901 |aStaff analytical note = Note analytique du personnel, |x2369-9639 ; |v2017-7
500 |aTitle from cover.
504 |aIncludes bibliographical references.
520 |a"Since 2012, business investment growth has slowed considerably in advanced economies, averaging a little less than 2 per cent versus the 4 per cent growth rates experienced in the period leading up to crisis. Several recent studies have attributed a large part of the weakness in business investment to cyclical factors, including soft aggregate demand, and, to a lesser degree, heightened uncertainty and tighter financial conditions. In contrast, our analysis suggests that structural factors could provide an alternative explanation for the observed weakness in Canadian business investment. As a result, there is a risk that this weakness could prove to be much more persistent than cyclical interpretations suggest. Overall, population aging combined with two factors that could prove to be structural—weak productivity growth and the 2014–15 collapse in oil prices—could plausibly reduce the investment-to-output ratio by as much as 2 percentage points by 2020 relative to the average of 12 per cent observed since 2000, or an additional 0.9 percentage points relative to its 2016 value. This would have important implications for the economic outlook."--Abstract, p. iii.
546 |aText in English, abstract in English and French.
69207|2gccst|aEconomic indicators
69207|2gccst|aBusiness development
69207|2gccst|aInvestments
7001 |aMendes, Rhys R.
7102 |aBank of Canada.
830#0|aStaff analytical note,|x2369-9639 ; |v2017-7.|w(CaOODSP)9.807323
85640|qPDF|s1.42 MB|uhttps://publications.gc.ca/collections/collection_2017/banque-bank-canada/FB3-7-2017-7-eng.pdf