Does inflation uncertainty vary with the level of inflation? / by Allan Crawford and Marcel Kasumovich. : FB3-2/96-9E-PDF

The purpose of this study is to test the hypothesis that inflation uncertainty increases at higher levels of inflation. Our analysis is based on the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) class of models, which allow the conditional variance of the error term to be time-varying. Since this variance is a proxy for inflation uncertainty, a positive relationship between the conditional variance and inflation would be interpreted as evidence that inflation uncertainty increases with the level of inflation.--Abstract

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Publication information
Department/Agency Bank of Canada.
Title Does inflation uncertainty vary with the level of inflation? / by Allan Crawford and Marcel Kasumovich.
Series title Bank of Canada working paper1701-9397[96-9?]
Publication type Series - View Master Record
Language [English]
Format Electronic
Electronic document
Other formats Paper-[English]
Note(s) "The purpose of this study is to test the hypothesis that inflation uncertainty increases at higher levels of inflation. Our analysis is based on the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) class of models, which allow the conditional variance of the error term to be time-varying. Since this variance is a proxy for inflation uncertainty, a positive relationship between the conditional variance and inflation would be interpreted as evidence that inflation uncertainty increases with the level of inflation."--Abstract.
The ISBN (0-662-24986-0) and ISSN (1192-5434) for the print edition have been incorrectly copied in this electronic publication.
Résumé en français.
Publishing information Ottawa - Ontario : Bank of Canada August 1996.
Description 54p.graphs, references, tables
ISSN 1701-9397
Catalogue number
  • FB3-2/96-9E-PDF
Subject terms Inflation
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