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008170214s2017    oncd    ob   f000 0 eng d
040 |aCaOODSP|beng
041 |aeng|bfre
043 |an-cn---
0861 |aFB3-6/2017-2E-PDF
1001 |aBinette, André, |d1973-
24510|aGlobal real activity for Canadian exports - GRACE |h[electronic resource] / |cby André Binette, Tony Chernis and Daniel de Munnik.
260 |a[Ottawa] : |bBank of Canada, |cc2017.
300 |a28 p. : |bcol. charts
4901 |aBank of Canada staff discussion paper, |x1914-0568 ; |v2017-2
500 |a"January 2017."
504 |aIncludes bibliographical references.
5203 |a"Canadian exports have often disappointed since the Great Recession. The apparent disconnect between exports and the Bank of Canada’s current measure of foreign demand has created an impetus to search for an alternative. Based on a dynamic factor model (DFM) methodology, we use a broad range of international economic indicators (close to 300) to estimate external demand for Canadian exports. The new measure, Global Real Activity for Canadian Exports (GRACE), follows Binette et al. (2014) who suggest that a mix of global final expenditure and production variables could help better identify activity relevant to Canadian exports. They also suggest that non‐US variables might be relevant. GRACE uses final expenditure and production variables not only from the United States but also for all of Canada’s major trading partners. We apply this approach to total exports and 14 subaggregates of Canadian exports. Overall, we find that this new measure has good theoretical and empirical properties, especially for higher-level aggregates"--Abstract, p. ii.
546 |aIncludes abstract in French.
69207|2gccst|aExports
69207|2gccst|aDemand
7001 |aChernis, Tony.
7001 |aDe Munnik, Daniel.
7102 |aBank of Canada.
830#0|aStaff discussion paper (Bank of Canada)|v2017-2|w(CaOODSP)9.806273
85640|qPDF|s872 KB|uhttps://publications.gc.ca/collections/collection_2017/banque-bank-canada/FB3-6-2017-2-eng.pdf