00000nam 2200000za 4500 9.840707 CaOODSP 20221107151918 cr ||||||||||| 170908s2014 nsc fo f000 0 eng d CaOODSP eng n-cn--- D69-48/2014E-PDF Mandel, David R. The psychology of Bayesian reasoning [electronic resource] / David R. Mandel. [Toronto] : Defence Research and Development Canada, [2014] [7] p. Includes bibliographic references. "Most psychological research on Bayesian reasoning since the 1970s has used a type of problem that tests a certain kind of statistical reasoning performance. The subject is given statistical facts within a hypothetical scenario. Those facts include a base-rate statistic and one or two diagnostic probabilities. The subject is meant to use that information to arrive at a “posterior” probability estimate"--p. [1]. gccst Statistical analysis Defence R&D Canada. Toronto Research Centre. PDF 171 KB https://publications.gc.ca/collections/collection_2017/rddc-drdc/D69-48-2014-eng.pdf