000 02221nam  2200349za 4500
0019.844601
003CaOODSP
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008170927s2017    oncd    obs  f000 0 eng d
040 |aCaOODSP|beng
041 |aeng|bfre
043 |an-cn---|an-us---
0861 |aFB3-5/2017-35E-PDF
1001 |aBaumeister, Christiane.
24510|aDid the Renewable Fuel Standard shift market expectations of the price of ethanol? |h[electronic resource] / |cby Christiane Baumeister, Reinhard Ellwanger and Lutz Kilian.
260 |a[Ottawa] : |bBank of Canada, |c2017.
300 |aiii, 54 p. : |bcol. charts
4901 |aBank of Canada staff working paper, |x1701-9397 ; |v2017-35
500 |a"September 2017."
504 |aIncludes bibliographical references (39-43).
520 |a“The creation of the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) in the United States has had far-reaching implications for the ethanol market (and indirectly for the market for corn), and it is well understood that the response of the price of ethanol (and the price of related commodities such as corn) to shifts in biofuel policies operates in part through market expectations. Yet to date it has proved difficult to measure these expectations and to directly confront these views with the data. In this paper, we utilize a recently proposed methodology to estimate the market’s expectations of the price of ethanol, and for related commodities such as unfinished motor gasoline and crude oil after 2005. We quantify the extent to which price changes were anticipated by the market, the extent to which they were unanticipated, and how the risk premium in these markets has evolved"--Non-technical summary, p. [iv].
546 |aIncludes abstract in French.
69207|2gccst|aFuels
69207|2gccst|aPrices
69207|2gccst|aEnergy policy
69207|2gccst|aStatistical analysis
7001 |aEllwanger, Reinhard.
7001 |aKilian, Lutz.
7102 |aBank of Canada.
830#0|aStaff working paper (Bank of Canada)|x1701-9397 ; |v2017-35|w(CaOODSP)9.806221
85640|qPDF|s663 KB|uhttps://publications.gc.ca/collections/collection_2017/banque-bank-canada/FB3-5-2017-35-eng.pdf