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Alternative scenario to the October 2017 MPR base-case projection : higher potential growth / Jing Yang, Ben Tomlin and Olivier Gervais.FB3-7/2017-18E-PDF

"We construct an alternative scenario in which trend labour input and business investment are stronger than that expected in the Bank of Canada’s base-case projection in the October 2017 Monetary Policy Report. We find that while the size and timing of these effects are highly uncertain, the level of potential and real output could be almost 1 per cent higher than expected by the end of 2020. The resulting effect on the output gap and inflation is small and therefore does not affect the stance of monetary policy"--Abstract, p. 3.

Permanent link to this Catalogue record:
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Publication information
Department/Agency
  • Bank of Canada.
TitleAlternative scenario to the October 2017 MPR base-case projection : higher potential growth / Jing Yang, Ben Tomlin and Olivier Gervais.
Series title
  • Staff analytical note = Note analytique du personnel, 2369-9639 ; 2017-18
Publication typeMonograph - View Master Record
Language[English]
FormatDigital text
Electronic document
Note(s)
  • Cover title.
  • Includes bibliographical references.
  • Includes abstract in French.
Publishing information
  • [Ottawa] : Bank of Canada, c2017.
Author / Contributor
  • Yang, Jing,1970-
  • Tomlin, Ben.
  • Gervais, Olivier.
Descriptioniii, 7 p. : col. charts
Catalogue number
  • FB3-7/2017-18E-PDF
Subject terms
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