Uncovered return parity : equity returns and currency returns / by Edouard Djeutem and Geoffrey R. Dunbar.: FB3-5/2018-22E-PDF

"We propose an uncovered expected returns parity (URP) condition for the bilateral spot exchange rate. URP implies that unilateral exchange rate equations are misspecified and that equity returns also affect exchange rates. Fama regressions provide evidence that URP is statistically preferred to uncovered interest rate parity (UIP) for nominal bilateral exchange rates between the US dollar and six countries (Australia, Canada, Japan, Norway, Switzerland and the UK) at the monthly frequency. An implication of URP is that commodity price changes that affect equity returns thus affect bilateral exchange rates through the equity channel. We find evidence that the Australian, Canadian, Norwegian (post 2001) and UK (post 1992) expected exchange rates increase via the oil-equity channel as oil prices rise, whereas the Japanese and Swiss expected exchange rates decrease"--Abstract, p. ii.

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Publication information
Department/Agency Bank of Canada.
Title Uncovered return parity : equity returns and currency returns / by Edouard Djeutem and Geoffrey R. Dunbar.
Series title Bank of Canada staff working paper, 1701-9397 ; 2018-22
Publication type Series - View Master Record
Language [English]
Format Electronic
Electronic document
Note(s) "May 2018."
Includes bibliographical references (p. 25-28).
Includes abstract in French.
Publishing information [Ottawa] : Bank of Canada, 2018.
Author / Contributor Djeutem, Edouard.
Dunbar, Geoffrey R.
Description ii, 36 p. : charts (some col.)
Catalogue number
  • FB3-5/2018-22E-PDF
Subject terms Rate of return
Foreign exchange rates
International finance
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