Bending the curves : wages and inflation / by Dany Brouillette ... [et al.].: FB3-7/2018-15E-PDF
"As economic slack continues to be absorbed and the labour market tightens, wage growth and inflation could increase faster than expected, which would suggest convexity in their Phillips curves. This note investigates whether there is convexity in the Phillips curves for Canadian wage growth and inflation by testing different empirical approaches over the post-inflation-targeting period. We conclude that while there is some evidence that the relationship between wage growth—as indicated by the Bank of Canada wage-common measure—and the output gap is non-linear in Canada, there is no clear evidence of a convex relationship between inflation and the output gap. The presence of downward nominal wage rigidity could likely explain these results. The risk of a sharp increase in CPI inflation therefore appears to be small over the projection horizon (2018–20) since the Canadian economy is expected to experience only modest excess demand"--Abstract, p. 4.
Permanent link to this Catalogue record:
publications.gc.ca/pub?id=9.857796&sl=0
| Department/Agency | Bank of Canada. |
|---|---|
| Title | Bending the curves : wages and inflation / by Dany Brouillette ... [et al.]. |
| Series title | Staff analytical note = Note analytique du personnel, 2369-9639 ; 2018-15 |
| Publication type | Series - View Master Record |
| Language | [English] |
| Other language editions | [French] |
| Format | Electronic |
| Electronic document | |
| Note(s) | Issued also in French under title: Salaires et inflation : des courbes non linéaires? Cover title. Includes bibliographical references (p. 13) Includes abstract in French. |
| Publishing information | [Ottawa] : Bank of Canada, c2018. |
| Author / Contributor | Brouillette, Dany, 1978- |
| Description | 18 p. : col. charts. |
| Catalogue number |
|
| Subject terms | Wages--Effect of inflation on Phillips curve |