Weakness in non-commodity exports : demand versus supply factors / by José Dorich, Vadym Lepetyuk and Jonathan Swarbrick.: FB3-7/2018-28E-PDF

"We use the Terms-of-Trade Economic Model (ToTEM) to conduct demand0 and supply-driven simulations, both of which deliver weakness in Canadian non-commodity exports relative to foreign activity in line with recent data. We then compare the predictions of the simulations with observed outcomes to shed light on the source of weakness in non-commodity exports. Our results suggest that demand factors, such as competitiveness challenges, likely play a dominant role in explaining the recent weakness in non-commodity exports. The simulations also reveal that a monetary policy response is required, independent of the source of the weakness in non-commodity exports."--Abstract, p. ii.

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Publication information
Department/Agency Bank of Canada.
Title Weakness in non-commodity exports : demand versus supply factors / by José Dorich, Vadym Lepetyuk and Jonathan Swarbrick.
Series title Staff analytical note = Note analytique du personnel, 2369-9639 ; 2018-28
Publication type Series - View Master Record
Language [English]
Format Electronic
Electronic document
Note(s) Cover title.
Includes bibliographical references.
Includes abstract in French.
Publishing information Ottawa : Bank of Canada, c2018.
Author / Contributor Dorich, José.
Lepetyuk, Vadym.
Swarbrick, Jonathan M.
Description ii, 9 p. : col. charts.
Catalogue number
  • FB3-7/2018-28E-PDF
Subject terms Monetary policy
Recent economic and financial developments
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