Modelling the macrofinancial effects of a house price correction in Canada / by Thibaut Duprey ... [et al.].: FB3-7/2018-36E-PDF

"We use a suite of risk-assessment models to examine the possible impact of a hypothetical house price correction, centred in the Toronto and Vancouver areas. We also assume financial stress significantly amplifies the macroeconomic impact of the house price decline. The rates of arrears rise for households and businesses, which puts some pressure on banks. But the large banks remain resilient through the risk scenario, supported by their international diversification and their ability to replenish capital with retained earnings. As with any simulation exercise, the results are subject to significant uncertainty and depend on the specifics of the scenario being considered"--Abstract.

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Publication information
Department/Agency Bank of Canada.
Title Modelling the macrofinancial effects of a house price correction in Canada / by Thibaut Duprey ... [et al.].
Series title Staff analytical note = Note analytique du personnel, 2369-9639 ; 2018-36
Publication type Series - View Master Record
Language [English]
Format Electronic
Electronic document
Note(s) Cover title.
Includes bibliographic references.
Includes abstract in French.
Publishing information Ottawa : Bank of Canada, 2018.
Author / Contributor Duprey, Thibaut.
Description ii, 10 p. : figures.
Catalogue number
  • FB3-7/2018-36E-PDF
Subject terms Real estate industry
Prices
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