Alternative futures of Canadian water use, 1981-2011 / by Donald M. Tate ; Inland Waters Directorate, Environment Canada.: En36-519/17E-PDF

"Projections of withdrawal water use in Canada, its five major regions and 47 major river basins are contained in this research report. The time period covered by the forecasts carried out here is 1981-2011. The methodology used is based upon structural modelling, employing a thirty-sector regional input-output model, augmented for use in 51 water demand projection made. Major variables used in the forecasting were economic activity levels, production technology and water use practices, as defined in the first chapter. The effects of a concerted. effort at promoting water conservation were also modelled. An alternative approach to the forecasting problem is outlined in chapter five, using the Red Deer River basin as a hypothetical case study. The advantages of this simulation modelling approach relate to the integration into the water use forecasting process of water supply considerations, and the ability to conduct studies on a river basin and subbasin level, as opposed to an economic region level. Six recommendations for further work are made in the final chapter"--Abstract.

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