Estimating the effect of changing Canada-US border costs on North American trade patterns and expenditures : detailed methodology / by W. Mark Brown, Afshan Dar-Brodeur and Jay Dixon.: CS11-633/2019-23E-PDF

"This paper shows how to estimate the effect of the Canada-United States border on non-energy goods trade at a sub-provincial/state level using Statistics Canada’s Surface Transportation File (STF), augmented with United States domestic trade data. It uses a gravity model framework to compare cross-border to domestic trade flows among 201 Canadian and United States regions in year 2012. It shows that some 25 years after the Canada-United States Free Trade Agreement (the North American Free Trade Agreement’s predecessor) was ratified, the cost of trading goods across the border still amounts to a 30% tariff on bilateral trade between Canadian and United States regions. The paper also demonstrates how these estimates can be used along with general equilibrium Poisson pseudo maximum likelihood (GEPPML) methods to describe the effect of changing border costs on North American trade patterns and regional welfare"--Abstract, page 5.

Permanent link to this Catalogue record:
publications.gc.ca/pub?id=9.878999&sl=0

Publication information
Department/Agency Statistics Canada. Analytical Studies Branch.
Title Estimating the effect of changing Canada-US border costs on North American trade patterns and expenditures : detailed methodology / by W. Mark Brown, Afshan Dar-Brodeur and Jay Dixon.
Series title Analytical studies : methods and references, 2371-3429 ; no. 23
Publication type Series - View Master Record
Language [English]
Other language editions [French]
Format Electronic
Electronic document
Note(s) "Release date: September 24, 2019."
Issued also in HTML format.
Issued also in French under title: Estimation de l’incidence de changements dans les coûts liés à la frontière canado-américaine sur les structures du commerce et les dépenses en Amérique du Nord : méthodologie détaillée.
Includes bibliographical references (page 28).
Publishing information [Ottawa] : Statistics Canada = Statistique Canada, 2019.
©2019
Author / Contributor Brown, W. Mark author.(William Mark), 1969-
Dar-Brodeur, Afshan, author.
Dixon, Jay, author.
Description 1 online resource (28 pages) : map.
ISBN 9780660325545
Catalogue number
  • CS11-633/2019-23E-PDF
Subject terms Trade
Boundaries
Costs
Tariffs
Statistics
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