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008191213t20192019oncd    ob   f000 0 eng d
040 |aCaOODSP|beng|erda|cCaOODSP
041 |aeng|bfre
043 |an-cn---
0861 |aFB3-6/2019-12E-PDF
1001 |aPoloz, Stephen S., |eauthor.
24510|aChanging fortunes : |blong-termism - G-zero, artificial intelligence and debt / |cby Stephen S. Poloz.
264 1|aOttawa : |bBank of Canada = Banque du Canada, |c2019.
264 4|c©2019
300 |a1 online resource (v, 22 pages) : |bcolour charts.
336 |atext|btxt|2rdacontent
337 |acomputer|bc|2rdamedia
338 |aonline resource|bcr|2rdacarrier
4901 |aBank of Canada staff discussion paper, |x1914-0568 ; |v2019-12
500 |a"December 2019."
504 |aIncludes bibliographical references (page 22).
5203 |a"This paper discusses three long-term forces that are acting on the global economy and their implications for companies and policy-makers: 1. the transition in geopolitics away from a global order based on international co-operation, or “deglobalization”; 2. the spread of new technology, particularly artificial intelligence, through the “fourth industrial revolution”; and 3. the steady buildup of debt—public and private—in most countries. Deglobalization leads to reduced investment and the deconstruction of global value chains, which will reduce global potential economic growth and living standards. The fourth industrial revolution will foster a period of stronger productivity growth and low inflation, accompanied by significant labour market disruptions. High and growing debt levels raise a range of risks associated with financial vulnerabilities. As well, the coincident rise in populism with doubts about the value of central bank independence risks an alignment of incentives between governments and highly indebted households, favouring a return to inflationary policies in the future. The paper concludes with a list of inferences and long-term policy implications"--Abstract.
546 |aIncludes abstract in French.
650 0|aMonetary policy.
650 0|aDebt.
650 0|aTechnological innovations.
650 0|aGeopolitics.
650 6|aPolitique monétaire.
650 6|aDettes.
650 6|aInnovations.
650 6|aGéopolitique.
7102 |aBank of Canada.
830#0|aStaff discussion paper (Bank of Canada)|v2019-12.|w(CaOODSP)9.806273
85640|qPDF|s623 KB|uhttps://publications.gc.ca/collections/collection_2019/banque-bank-canada/FB3-6-2019-12-eng.pdf