Networking the yield curve : implications for monetary policy / by Tatjana Dahlhaus, Julia Schaumburg and Tatevik Sekhposyan.: FB3-5/2021-4E-PDF

"We introduce a flexible, time-varying network model to trace the propagation of interest rate surprises across different maturities. First, we develop a novel econometric framework that allows for unknown, potentially asymmetric contemporaneous spillovers across panel units and establish the finite sample properties of the model via simulations. Second, we employ this innovative framework to jointly model the dynamics of interest rate surprises and to assess how various monetary policy actions—for example, short-term, long-term interest rate targeting and forward guidance—propagate across the yield curve. We find that the network of interest rate surprises is indeed asymmetric and defined by spillovers between adjacent maturities. Spillover intensity is high on average but shows strong time variation. Forward guidance is an important driver of the spillover intensity. Pass-through from short-term interest rate surprises to longer maturities is muted, yet there are stronger spillovers associated with surprises at medium- and long-term maturities. We illustrate how our proposed framework helps our understanding of the ways various dimensions of monetary policy propagate through the yield curve and interact with each other"--Abstract, page ii.

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Publication information
Department/Agency Bank of Canada, issuing body.
Title Networking the yield curve : implications for monetary policy / by Tatjana Dahlhaus, Julia Schaumburg and Tatevik Sekhposyan.
Series title Staff working paper = Document de travail du personnel, 1701-9397 ; 2021-4
Publication type Series - View Master Record
Language [English]
Format Electronic
Electronic document
Note(s) Includes bibliographical references (pages 19-20).
Publishing information Ottawa, Ontario, Canada : Bank of Canada = Banque du Canada, January 21, 2021.
©2021
Author / Contributor Dahlhaus, Tatjana, author.
Description 1 online resource (ii, 32 pages) : illustrations (some colour).
Catalogue number
  • FB3-5/2021-4E-PDF
Subject terms Monetary policy -- Econometric models.
Interest rates -- Econometric models.
Politique monétaire -- Modèles économétriques.
Taux d'intérêt -- Modèles économétriques.
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