The anatomy of sentiment-driven fluctuations / by Sushant Acharya, Jess Benhabib and Zhen Huo.: FB3-5/2021-33E-PDF

"We show that sentiments—self-fulfilling changes in beliefs that are orthogonal to fundamentals—can drive persistent aggregate fluctuations under rational expectations in a beauty contest game. Such fluctuations can occur even in the absence of exogenous aggregate fundamental shocks. Moreover, sentiments alter the volatility and persistence of aggregate outcomes in response to fundamental shocks. We provide (i) necessary conditions under which sentiments can affect aggregate outcomes in equilibrium and (ii) conditions under which sentiments drive persistent fluctuations and when they only affect aggregate outcomes contemporaneously. We also show that sentiment equilibria are stable under least-squares learning while the fundamental equilibrium is not"--Abstract, page iii.

Permanent link to this Catalogue record:
publications.gc.ca/pub?id=9.903141&sl=0

Publication information
Department/Agency Bank of Canada, issuing body.
Title The anatomy of sentiment-driven fluctuations / by Sushant Acharya, Jess Benhabib and Zhen Huo.
Series title Staff working paper = Document de travail du personnel, 1701-9397 ; 2021-33
Publication type Series - View Master Record
Language [English]
Format Electronic
Electronic document
Note(s) "Last updated: July 14, 2021."
Includes bibliographical references (pages 30-33).
Publishing information Ottawa, Ontario, Canada : Bank of Canada = Banque du Canada, 2021.
©2021
Author / Contributor Acharya, Sushant, author.
Description 1 online resource (iii, 43 pages) : colour illustrations.
Catalogue number
  • FB3-5/2021-33E-PDF
Subject terms Business cycles -- Econometric models.
Cycles économiques -- Modèles économétriques.
Request alternate formats
To request an alternate format of a publication, complete the Government of Canada Publications email form. Use the form’s “question or comment” field to specify the requested publication.
Date modified: