Post-pandemic provisional federal population forecasts / prepared by Larry Motiuk and Ben Vuong.: PS82-4/23-23E-PDF

"Correctional Service of Canada (CSC) regularly refreshes its provisional federal institutional and community population forecasts. As previously noted, a major assumption in any forecasting exercise is that things will remain the same, which has not been the case in recent years when courts slowed or closed completely resulting in a decrease in admissions. Consequently, over the course of two and half fiscal years marked by the COVID-19 pandemic, CSC exhibited unprecedented declines in the in-custody (-1,392 or 10.1%) and community supervision (-903 or 9.6%) populations. While provisional forecasts were undertaken in 2022-23, the reopening of courts and very sharp rise in federal admissions coupled with a decline in the number of releases it appears that the in-custody population is quickly returning to pre-pandemic levels and normal growth. The following provides an update on the previous population estimates with refreshed 10-year estimates to fiscal year-end 2032-33."

Permanent link to this Catalogue record:
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Publication information
Department/Agency Correctional Service Canada, issuing body.
Title Post-pandemic provisional federal population forecasts / prepared by Larry Motiuk and Ben Vuong.
Series title Research in brief ; RIB-23-23
Publication type Series - View Master Record
Language [English]
Other language editions [French]
Format Electronic
Electronic document
Note(s) Issued also in French under title: Prévisions provisoires postpandémiques de la population de délinquants sous responsabilité fédérale.
Includes bibliographical references.
Publishing information [Ottawa] : Correctional Service Canada = Service correctionnel Canada, 2023.
Author / Contributor Motiuk, Laurence L. (Laurence Louis), 1954- author.
Description 1 online resource (1 page).
ISBN 9780660498478
Catalogue number
  • PS82-4/23-23E-PDF
Subject terms Prisoners -- Canada -- Forecasting -- Statistics.
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