Impacts of interest rate hikes on the consumption of households with a mortgage / by Panagiotis Bouras, Joaquín Saldain, Xing Guo, Tom Pugh, and Maria teNyenhuis.: FB3-7/2024-14E-PDF
"We combine loan-level data about residential mortgages in Canada with a realistic measure of each household's liquidity situation to assess how much the recent rate hike cycle has affected and will affect mortgage borrowers' consumption through its impact on mortgage payments. Our results indicate that increases in interest rates have reduced the average mortgage borrowers' consumption by 2.8% as at April 2024 and that the decrease is expected to fall further and reach 3.8% in early 2028. These increases reduce mortgage borrowers' consumption for two reasons: their mortgage payments increased during the rate hike cycle, and they will face a higher remaining balance to be paid off in the future. Because a rate hike cycle will increase the total debt burden of mortgage borrowers, the negative effects of a rate hike cycle on mortgage borrowers' consumption will last longer than the rate cycle itself"--Conclusion, page 6.
Permanent link to this Catalogue record:
publications.gc.ca/pub?id=9.944009&sl=0
| Department/Agency | Bank of Canada, issuing body. |
|---|---|
| Title | Impacts of interest rate hikes on the consumption of households with a mortgage / by Panagiotis Bouras, Joaquín Saldain, Xing Guo, Tom Pugh, and Maria teNyenhuis. |
| Series title | Staff analytical note = Note analytique du personnel, 2369-9639 ; 2024-14 |
| Publication type | Series - View Master Record |
| Language | [English] |
| Format | Electronic |
| Electronic document | |
| Note(s) | "Last updated: June 17, 2024." Includes bibliographical references (page 13). |
| Publishing information | [Ottawa] : Bank of Canada = Banque du Canada, 2024. ©2024 |
| Author / Contributor | Bouras, Panagiotis, author. |
| Description | 1 online resource (i, 13 pages) : illustrations (some colour). |
| Catalogue number |
|
| Subject terms | Interest rates -- Canada -- Econometric models. Mortgage loans -- Canada -- Econometric models. Consumption (Economics) -- Canada -- Econometric models. Taux d'intérêt -- Canada -- Modèles économétriques. Prêts hypothécaires -- Canada -- Modèles économétriques. Consommation (Économie politique) -- Canada -- Modèles économétriques. |
Request alternate formats
To request an alternate format of a publication, complete the Government of Canada Publications email form. Use the form’s “question or comment” field to specify the requested publication.- Date modified: