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The sectoral origins of post-pandemic inflation / Jan David Schneider.FB3-5/2025-37E-PDF

"This paper quantifies the contribution of sector-specific supply and demand shocks to personal consumption expenditure (PCE) inflation. It derives identification restrictions that are consistent with a large class of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models with production networks. It then imposes these restrictions in structural factor augmented vector autoregressive models with sectoral data on PCE inflation and consumption growth. The identification scheme allows the study to remain agnostic on theoretical modeling assumptions yet still gain structural empirical results: sectoral shocks cannot explain the initial inflation increases that followed the COVID-19 pandemic. This changed from the end of 2021 onwards when shocks originating in non-services sectors became a major source of the post-pandemic inflation surge"--Abstract, page ii.

Permanent link to this Catalogue record:
publications.gc.ca/pub?id=9.958835&sl=0

Publication information
Department/Agency
  • Bank of Canada, issuing body.
TitleThe sectoral origins of post-pandemic inflation / Jan David Schneider.
Series title
  • Staff working paper = Document de travail du personnel, 1701-9397 ; 2025-37
Publication typeMonograph - View Master Record
Language[English]
FormatDigital text
Electronic document
Note(s)
  • Cover title.
  • Includes bibliographical references (pages 37-40).
  • Includes abstracts in English and French.
Publishing information
  • [Ottawa] : Bank of Canada = Banque du Canada, December 19, 2025.
  • ©2025
Author / Contributor
  • Schneider, Jan David, author.
Description1 online resource (ii, 45 pages) : illustrations, graphs.
Catalogue number
  • FB3-5/2025-37E-PDF
Subject terms
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