000	02127cam  2200325za 4500
001	9.805240
003	CaOODSP
005	20221107135612
007	cr |||||||||||
008	150406s1999    oncd    ob   f000 0 eng d
040	|aCaOODSP|beng
041	|aeng|bfre
043	|an-cn---
086	1 |aFs70-1/1999-110E-PDF
100	1 |aHarvie, C. J.
245	10|aInseason forecast model for 1SW salmon returning to the Saint John River, New Brunswick, in 1999 |h[electronic resource] / |cby C.J. Harvie and T.L. Marshall.
260	|aOttawa : |bFisheries and Oceans Canada, |c1999.
300	|a10 p. : |bfig., graphs, tables.
490	1 |aCanadian Stock Assessment Secretariat research document, |x1480-4883 ; |v99/110
504	|aIncludes bibliographical references (p. 5).
520	|aInseason forecasts of wild and hatchery 1SW Atlantic salmon returning to Mactaquac Dam on the Saint John River, New Brunswick, have been estimated using simple linear regression models. The response variable has been cumulative proportion of the returns to date and, for wild 1SW salmon, the predictor variable has been average daily mean discharge. Since 1995, discharge has become a less significant predictor in the wild 1SW model and the seasonal distribution of hatchery 1SW arrival has changed, frequently resulting in overestimation of returns. A new model, regressing end-of-season returns on returns-to-date, for both wild and hatchery components at three dates, was evaluated for forecast accuracy in a retrospective examination and found to more accurately forecast end-of-season returns.
692	07|2gccst|aFisheries resources
692	07|2gccst|aSalt water fish
692	07|2gccst|aFishing area
692	07|2gccst|aFisheries management
700	1 |aMarshall, T. L.
710	1 |aCanada. |bDepartment of Fisheries and Oceans.
710	2 |aCanada.|bCanadian Stock Assessment Secretariat.
830	#0|aCanadian Stock Assessment Secretariat research document,|x1480-4883 ; |v99/110|w(CaOODSP)9.507740
856	40|qPDF|s89 KB|uhttps://publications.gc.ca/collections/collection_2015/mpo-dfo/Fs70-1-1999-110-eng.pdf