00000nam 2200000za 4500 9.821814 CaOODSP 20221107143540 cr ||||||||||| 160729s2016 oncd ob f000 0 eng d CaOODSP eng eng fre n-cn--- FB3-5/2016-37E-PDF Ehrmann, Michael, 1968- Starting from a blank page? [electronic resource] : semantic similarity in central bank communication and market volatility / by Michael Ehrmann and Jonathan Talmi. Semantic similarity in central bank communication and market volatility [Ottawa] : Bank of Canada, c2016. iv, 34 p. Staff Working Paper, 1701-9397 ; 2016-37 "July 2016." Includes bibliographical references. Press releases announcing and explaining monetary policy decisions play a critical role in the communication strategy of central banks. Because of their market-moving potential, it is particularly important how they are drafted. Often, central banks start from the previous statement and update the earlier text with only small changes. This way, it is straightforward to compare statements and see how the central bank’s thinking has evolved. This paper studies to what extent such similarity in central bank statements matters for the reception of their content in financial markets. Using the case of the Bank of Canada (the G7 central bank that had to rely the least on unconventional monetary policy following the global financial crisis and has therefore broadly continued standard monetary policy communications), the paper shows that press releases with larger differences in wording lead to higher volatility in financial markets, suggesting that their content is more difficult to absorb. At the same time, while press releases that are similar to the previous one generate less market volatility, once their wording is updated, volatility increases substantially. gccst Monetary policy gccst Press releases gccst Capital markets Talmi, Jonathan. Bank of Canada. Staff working paper (Bank of Canada) 1701-9397 ; 2016-37 (CaOODSP)9.806221 PDF 1,020 KB https://publications.gc.ca/collections/collection_2016/banque-bank-canada/FB3-5-2016-37-eng.pdf