Monitoring Canadian federal in-custody population trends 2010 to 2016 / prepared by Larry Motiuk. : PS82-4/16-4E-PDF

"Knowing where, when and why jumps or kinks in custodial trend lines occur can facilitate the allocation operational resources and accommodation planning. Since the turn of the millennium, uptrend lines for many jurisdictions have been reflected in forecast estimates resulting in a net demand for increased capacity. A systematic monitoring of in-custody population counts or occupancy rates (actual counts/rated capacity level) can signal when a break below the longer-term uptrend line might be occurring. Essentially, it would indicate that net-demand for accommodation capacity has weakened and a change in trend could be imminent"--Why we did this study, p. [1].

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