An approach for assessing uncertainty and the balance of risks : constructing a fan chart for real GDP growth forecasts / [prepared by Chris Matier]. : YN5-136/2010E-PDF

"Economic forecasts presented in the Government’s budgets and fiscal updates provide a single or ‘point’ forecast, which represents only one possible future outcome. Different economic outcomes – with varying degrees of probability – are of course possible. Although it is not possible to know, with certainty, the distribution of these future outcomes, it is nonetheless useful to illustrate the uncertainty surrounding a baseline economic forecast to enhance discussion about risks to the economic outlook and to help policymakers gauge the likelihood of possible economic scenarios"--Key Points, p. ii.

Lien permanent pour cette publication :
publications.gc.ca/pub?id=9.847394&sl=1

• Format MARC XML
• Format MARC HTML

Demander des formats alternatifs