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008190712t20192019oncd   #ob   f000 0 eng d
040 |aCaOODSP|beng|erda|cCaOODSP
041 |aeng|bfre
043 |an-cn---
0861 |aFB3-7/2019-20E-PDF
1001 |aCharbonneau, Karyne, |eauthor.
24514|aThe impact of a trade war : |bassessment of the current tariffs and alternative scenarios / |cby Karyne B. Charbonneau.
24610|aAssessment of the current tariffs and alternative scenarios
264 1|aOttawa, Ontario, Canada : |bBank of Canada = Banque du Canada, |c[2019]
264 4|c©2019
300 |a1 online resource (ii, 15 pages) : |bgraphs.
336 |atext|btxt|2rdacontent
337 |acomputer|bc|2rdamedia
338 |aonline resource|bcr|2rdacarrier
4901 |aStaff analytical note = Note analytique du personnel, |x2369-9639 ; |v2019-20
500 |aTitle from cover.
504 |aIncludes bibliographical references (pages 14-15).
520 |a"This note uses Charbonneau and Landry’s (2018) framework to assess the direct impact of the current trade tensions on the Canadian and global economies, as well as possible implications if the conflict escalates further. Overall, my findings show that the estimated impact of current tariffs on real gross domestic product (GDP) remains relatively small, which is in line with the literature on gains from trade, but the impact on trade is much larger. With a modest escalation of trade tensions, monetary policy in Canada could face a situation of rising prices and falling real GDP. This dilemma would be worse if Canada takes an active role in the trade conflict. If trade tensions rise more dramatically, the effect on Canada would depend on Canada’s access to the US market. A significant and more broad-based rise in tariffs could lead to large global impacts"--Abstract, page ii.
546 |aIncludes abstract in French.
69207|2gccst|aTrade disputes
69207|2gccst|aTariffs
69207|2gccst|aEconomic analysis
7102 |aBank of Canada.
830#0|aStaff analytical note,|x2369-9639 ; |v2019-20.|w(CaOODSP)9.807323
85640|qPDF|s482 KB|uhttps://publications.gc.ca/collections/collection_2019/banque-bank-canada/FB3-7-2019-20-eng.pdf