A method to assess the implications of future urban expansion on rural land / Chris Cocklin and Barry Smit. : En73-4/23E-PDF

"In Canada, as elsewhere, there has been an outward expansion of urban centres in order to accommodate the land demands for urban activities. A variety of resource conflicts have arisen as a result, one of the most actively discussed in recent times being the development for urban uses of land with high capability for renewable uses. While there have been numerous studies undertaken in an effort to estimate the extent and rate of conversions of rural land, especially agricultural land, to urban land uses, there has been much less attention devoted to estimating the extent and possible implications of future land conversions. In this report an approach to estimating future rural to urban land conversions is described and a method to assess the implications of land conversions in terms of the land resource for rural land use activities is developed. A pilot study, implemented to assess the implications of future land conversions for agriculture in Ontario, provides an illustration of the approaches described"--Abstract.

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