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045 |ax5y1
0861 |aFs70-5/2024-015E-PDF
1001 |aChampagnat, Juliette, |eauthor.
24510|aDevelopment of a state space assessment model for cod (Gadus morhua) in NAFO Subdivision 3Ps / |cJ. Champagnat, J. Vigneau, D.A. Varkey, P. Regular, D.W. Ings, J. Babyn, J. Morgan.
264 1|aOttawa ON : |bCanadian Science Advisory Secretariat (CSAS), |cMarch 2024.
264 4|c©2024
300 |a1 online resource (iv, 98 pages) : |billustrations (chiefly colour), colour map.
336 |atext|btxt|2rdacontent
337 |acomputer|bc|2rdamedia
338 |aonline resource|bcr|2rdacarrier
4901 |aResearch document, |x1919-5044 ; |v2024/015
500 |aIssued also in French under title: Élaboration d'un modèle à espace d'état pour l'évaluation du stock de morue (Gadus morhua) dans la sous-division 3Ps de l'OPANO.
504 |aIncludes bibliographical references (pages 13-14).
5203 |a"A state-space assessment model (SAM) that incorporates commercial catches and survey indices is developed for the 3Ps cod stock. It allows for process and observations errors and uses random walks in fishing mortality rate to estimate time variant selectivity. The model provides estimates of stock size, fishing mortality and recruitment together with their uncertainties and would eventually have the ability to provide stochastic forecasts. The objective of the study is to achieve an accurate estimation of the stock dynamics and better account for uncertainty. Four runs of the model are presented here with different options on mortality and survey inputs. Runs produce comparable estimation but lead to different stock status in the recent period. They also perform differently in terms of retrospective analysis, residual patterns, and description of latent processes. Three runs out of four produced outputs with concerning issues, so they could not be accepted as basis for assessment advice. The last one (called sentinel run) was kept as a "control model," which means it would be use for comparison purpose alongside with the accepted model (i.e., state-space model [HYBRID])"--Abstract, page iv.
650 0|aAtlantic cod|zNewfoundland and Labrador.
650 0|aAtlantic cod fisheries|zNewfoundland and Labrador.
650 0|aFish stock assessment|zNewfoundland and Labrador.
650 0|aState-space methods.
7102 |aCanadian Science Advisory Secretariat, |eissuing body.
7101 |aCanada. |bDepartment of Fisheries and Oceans. |bNewfoundland and Labrador Region, |eissuing body.
77508|tÉlaboration d'un modèle à espace d’état pour l'évaluation du stock de morue (Gadus morhua) dans la sous-division 3Ps de l'OPANO / |w(CaOODSP)9.933684
830#0|aResearch document (Canadian Science Advisory Secretariat)|v2024/015.|w(CaOODSP)9.507396
85640|qPDF|s11.92 MB|uhttps://publications.gc.ca/collections/collection_2024/mpo-dfo/fs70-5/Fs70-5-2024-015-eng.pdf