Future contacts with the criminal justice system in Saskatchewan : a microsimulation study / by Yvan Clermont, Youssouf Azmi, Shana Conroy, Lynn Barr-Telford, Jean-Dominique Morency and Laurent Martel. : CS85-002/39-14E-PDF

"The Canadian Centre for Justice Statistics and the Demography Division's microsimulation team at Statistics Canada have collaborated on a pilot study that aims to take advantage of Demosim—a microsimulation model that can project a large number of demographic characteristics of the population—to develop population projections of individuals who come into contact with the criminal justice system (i.e., the police) as persons accused of committing crime in Saskatchewan. The likelihood of coming into contact with police was estimated using a set of demographic characteristics (age, sex, Indigenous identity, visible minority status, place of birth, place of residence, marital status and highest level of education) in the census database that are projected into the future in Demosim. This microsimulation model also allowed for the production of population projections based on hypothetical scenarios. Specifically, how would increasing the educational attainment of certain vulnerable populations—in this case, Indigenous people—affect the number of people who come into contact with the criminal justice system in Saskatchewan as persons accused of crime? … This pilot study is an initial attempt by Statistics Canada to take advantage of the large-scale integration of data from various areas to simulate the impact of different social integration scenarios—for example, in education—on the pressure placed on the criminal justice system. This study does not identify methods for improving the educational attainment of Indigenous people. It only evaluates the possible impacts—including the value of intervention to attain this objective—to reduce the pressure of current conditions on the criminal justice system in Saskatchewan. With these factors in mind, this pilot study has produced a set of innovative and relevant results that are summarized below"--Executive summary, page 3.

Lien permanent pour cette publication :
publications.gc.ca/pub?id=9.943228&sl=1

Renseignements sur la publication
Ministère/Organisme Statistics Canada, issuing body.
Titre Future contacts with the criminal justice system in Saskatchewan : a microsimulation study / by Yvan Clermont, Youssouf Azmi, Shana Conroy, Lynn Barr-Telford, Jean-Dominique Morency and Laurent Martel.
Variante du titre Juristat article - future contacts with the criminal justice system in Saskatchewan : a microsimulation study
Titre de la série Juristat, 1209-6393
Type de publication Série - Voir l'enregistrement principal
Langue [Anglais]
Autres langues publiées [Français]
Format Électronique
Document électronique
Note(s) Issued also in French under title: Les futurs contacts avec le système de justice pénale en Saskatchewan : une étude de microsimulation.
"Catalogue no. 85-002-X."
Includes bibliographical references.
Information sur la publication [Ottawa] : Statistics Canada = Statistique Canada, September 19, 2019.
©2019
Auteur / Contributeur Clermont, Yvan, author.
Description 1 online resource (20 pages) : colour illustrations.
Numéro de catalogue
  • CS85-002/39-14E-PDF
Numéro de catalogue du ministère 85-002-X
Descripteurs Indigenous criminals -- Saskatchewan -- Statistics -- Forecasting.
Indigenous peoples -- Education -- Saskatchewan -- Statistics -- Forecasting.
Educational attainment -- Saskatchewan -- Statistics -- Forecasting.
Criminal statistics -- Saskatchewan -- Forecasting.
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