Modelling the impact of immigration on student numbers / by Aneta Bonikowska and Feng Hou, Garnett Picot and Évamé Koumaglo. : CS11-633/2025-60E-PDF

"This study presents an approach to model changes in the numbers of elementary, secondary and postsecondary students who are immigrants (including both permanent residents and non-permanent residents), in response to changes in overall immigration levels. The modelling approach uses historical data on age distributions, retention rates and participation rates to capture the effects of both new admission cohorts and the ongoing presence of earlier cohorts, allowing the impacts on enrolment to be estimated over time. This framework can be used to scale the effects to any given change in immigration levels, yielding projected numbers of students that can be expected in the Canadian education systems over the next several years under a given set of assumptions"--Abstract, page 5.

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publications.gc.ca/pub?id=9.957280&sl=1

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