BP-229E
HOUSING: CURRENT
ISSUES
Prepared by:
Jean Dupuis, Gerald Goldstein
Economics Division
March 1990
Revised August 1998
TABLE
OF CONTENTS
INTRODUCTION
CANADIAN
POST-WAR HOUSING SITUATION (1941-1987)
HOUSING
POLICY STUDIES OUTSIDE CANADA (1988-1990)
A.
The UN Study (1988)
B.
The OECD Study (1988)
C.
The United States Congressional Budget Office Study (1988)
D.
The United States National Housing Task Force Study (1988)
E.
The Bush Administration Proposal (1990)
SPECIFIC
ISSUES
A.
Senior Citizens
B.
Homeless Persons
C.
Affordability
CANADIAN
HOUSING POLICY INITIATIVES SINCE 1985
SELECTED
REFERENCES
APPENDIX
I: PRESENT FEDERAL HOUSING POLICY, MAIN PROGRAM ACTIVITIES, 1996
APPENDIX
II: CANADIAN COUNCIL ON SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT (CCSD):
METHODOLOGY FOR STUDY OF SHELTER USE, 22 JANUARY 1987
APPENDIX
III: PRICE INDEXES FROM 1987 TO 1996
HOUSING:
CURRENT ISSUES
INTRODUCTION
There are almost 10 million
dwellings in Canada, over 63% of which are owner occupied. Annual construction,
in the neighbourhood of 150,000 units,(1)
represents just over 1.5% of the housing stock. While in almost all cases
housing is provided by the private sector, governments at all levels are
actively involved through policies such as building codes, zoning regulations,
financial incentives, and direct participation and management. General
federal policies such as monetary policy and tax regulations also have
a significant impact on both the supply and demand sides of the housing
market. Table 1 indicates that, in comparison with other OECD countries,
Canadas level of involvement is high level in subsidization and
low in credit control, government loans, and construction.
Housing policy priorities
have varied as much with analysts theories as with resources available.
After World War II, emphasis was placed on housing for returning soldiers.
In 1946, the Central Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC, now the Canada
Mortgage and Housing Corporation) was established to administer the 1944
National Housing Act (NHA). CMHC made mortgage loans and
became involved in public housing construction.
By the mid 1950s, CMHC had
replaced direct loans with the Mortgage Loan Insurance Program, which
provided the foundation for a private mortgage market in Canada.
Table 1
Levels of Government Involvement in Housing
|
Credit Control
|
Government
Loans
|
Subsidization
|
Construction
|
Australia
|
M
|
L
|
M
|
L
|
Canada
|
L
|
L
|
H
|
L
|
Finland
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
France
|
H
|
M
|
H
|
M
|
Germany
|
M
|
M
|
H
|
H
|
Greece
|
H
|
L
|
H
|
L
|
Japan
|
M
|
H
|
M
|
L
|
Luxembourg
|
H
|
L
|
L
|
L
|
Netherlands
|
M
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
New Zealand
|
L
|
L
|
L
|
L
|
Portugal
|
L
|
M
|
M
|
L
|
Spain
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
M
|
Sweden
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
M
|
Turkey
|
H
|
M
|
M
|
L
|
United
Kingdom
|
M
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
United
States
|
L
|
H
|
H
|
L
|
Key: H = High; M
= Medium; L = Low
Source: OECD Group
on Urban Housing Finance, Synthesis Report on National Position Papers,
1988.
A shortage of serviced land,
a major issue during the 1960s, was addressed by means of government loans
to municipalities to develop local infrastructures under the 1960 Municipal
Infrastructure Program. In the same decade, the federal government used
the housing industry to fight seasonal unemployment by means of its Winter
House Building Incentive Program. Urban renewal was also a target of significant
public spending.
By the 1970s, emphasis had
been placed on the rising cost of housing in rapidly growing urban areas
and affordability of urban housing for low-income households. This issue
has remained central and has been joined by others such as energy conservation,
the needs of special groups, and homelessness. During the 1980s and 1990s,
preoccupation with balancing budgets and the public debt forced the federal
and provincial governments to re-examine many of the accepted ideas about
the post-war welfare state, and to adjust their program spending accordingly.
Universal standard housing programs have gradually been replaced with
more limited measures that are better adjusted to the circumstances of
beneficiaries and more concerned with effectiveness and equity.
The goal of federal policy
has, however, remained consistent over time: to establish a housing policy
that will enable all Canadians to have decent, adequate, affordable housing.
The problem is that the terms "enable," "decent,"
"adequate," and "affordable" are all subject to a
wide variety of interpretations. Table 2 shows how housing conditions
in Canada changed according to specific criteria between 1941 and 1991.
This paper outlines current
housing issues and policies in Canada and reviews possible new initiatives
suggested by the experience of other countries and the advice of various
advocacy groups. It also studies current wisdom with respect to terms
such as "affordability."
Table 2
Comparative Data on the Changing Housing Situation in Canada, 1941 and
1991
|
Dwellings
|
1941
|
1991
|
Total population
|
(000)
|
11,490
|
27,296
|
In urban
areas
|
(000)
|
5,852
|
20,906
|
In collective
dwellings
|
(000)
|
368
|
447
|
Occupied
private dwellings
|
(000)
|
2,573
|
10,018
|
Rooms per
dwelling
|
|
5.3
|
6.1
|
Persons
per dwelling
|
|
4.5
|
2.7
|
Persons
per room
|
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
Owned dwellings
|
(%)
|
57
|
63
|
In urban
areas
|
(%)
|
40
|
79
|
Single
detached dwellings
|
(%)
|
71
|
57
|
In urban
areas
|
(%)
|
49
|
49
|
Dwellings
|
|
|
|
In need
of major repair
|
(%)
|
27
|
8
|
Using stove
or space heater
|
(%)
|
61
|
3
|
Using coal,
coke, or wood fuel
|
(%)
|
93
|
4
|
With refrigerator
|
(%)
|
21
|
99*
|
With piped
running water
|
(%)
|
61
|
99*
|
With inside
flush toilet
|
(%)
|
56
|
99*
|
With installed
bath or shower
|
(%)
|
45
|
99*
|
* 1996 Household Income,
Facilities and Equipment (HIFE) Survey, catalogue number 64-202 XPB.
Source: Statistics
Canada, Census of Canada, 1941 and 1991.
CANADIAN
POST-WAR HOUSING SITUATION (1941-1987)
After 1941, the post-war
baby boom, high immigration, increased life expectancy, rising real incomes,
individuals desire for separate accommodation, and the population
shift to urban areas, particularly in central Canada and British Columbia,
led to a dramatic increase in the quality and quantity of both owned and
rental housing, largely on the private market. A broad range of government
policies not explicitly related to housing, such as income maintenance
programs for senior citizens and the unemployed, enabled low-income households
to spend more of their incomes on housing.
Federal housing policies
also significantly affected the changing post-war housing situation. Two
basic issues were addressed by these policies: the ineffectiveness that
prevented the private housing market from producing an adequate supply
of housing; and the principles of basic human rights, social justice,
and redistribution. The first issue was addressed by giving priority to
mortgage loan financing; the second, by establishing policies for assisting
low-rental housing and low-income home owners.
In a 1987 retrospective,(2)
CMHC concluded that national strategies were not always appropriate and
indicated that policies and programs should be geared to specific local
housing conditions, which are not uniform in all parts of the country.
A second lesson drawn from the post-war experience was that policies designed
to solve housing problems are very costly. For example, when an individual
moves from shared family housing to publicly assisted housing, the government
must assume housing costs formerly paid by the family. Policies that encourage
independent living may thus put considerable pressure on the public purse.
It became clear that where
housing adequacy is concerned, there are no objective answers; housing
adequacy is a relative issue and must be judged according to a specific
set of goals. For example, in 1985, a CMHC concluded that 700,000 households
had housing problems.(3) These
households could not afford accommodation that was physically adequate
(with basic facilities) or uncrowded (with one person or less per room)
without paying more than 30% of their income. Of these households, 20%
were living in substandard housing (without basic facilities such as running
water); 500,000 were renters; and 150,000 of the 200,000 owners were living
in rural areas. By simply changing the definition of crowding, the threshold
portion of income spent on housing, or the geographic boundary of housing
markets, however, these numbers can be dramatically increased or decreased.
For example, households with the same income level could be considered
as needy in Toronto but as having no housing problems in Belleville.
Another normative issue
is the social integration of differing income and age groups. Integration
efforts were found to have proved divisive in some cases and expensive
in others. The 1987 CMHC study concluded that there was "surprisingly
little evidence of the extent to which current social-mix policies actually
result in such benefits" as improved social justice and compassion
(page 17). Limited resources have also led to a return to targeting
or restricting assistance to the needy; this emphasis may hinder social
integration, since non-needy households no longer receive assistance to
live in mixed developments.
HOUSING
POLICY STUDIES OUTSIDE CANADA (1988-1990)
In the late 1980s, the UN,
the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), the
United States Congressional Budget Office, and a United States National
Housing Task Force all published reports on issues relevant to the housing
situation in Canada at that time. The Bush administration also submitted
a new housing proposal to the United States Congress.
A.
The UN Study (1988)(4)
This study, conducted in
the late 1980s, noted that housing policies had been subjected to increased
scrutiny in all developed countries as governments sought greater economy
and better value for money spent. Many housing market distortions were
noted and linked to various government policies. For example, relief for
home owners was seen to be regressive and to encourage overconsumption
of housing by the rich; rent controls were seen to discourage investment
in rental markets, to hinder the mobility of households living in rent-controlled
housing, and generally to benefit persons not poor enough to need housing
assistance. In most countries, new investment in public housing had been
sharply curtailed because of budgetary constraints and a growing disillusionment
in some countries about its effectiveness in meeting the housing needs
of low-income households. Rent supplements had also become increasingly
popular, as being easier to direct and more cost-effective than other
programs.
This study identified New
Zealand as the country that had undertaken "what is probably the
most far-reaching and comprehensive housing policy reform attempted anywhere
in the developed market countries during the 1980s" (page 49). Briefly,
housing reforms in New Zealand had led to need-based assistance and tenure-neutral
programs. Rent controls and mortgage loan interest relief were eliminated
and replaced with direct income-related assistance for low-income owners
and renters. These reforms, along with increased investment in public
housing construction, low-interest loans to low-income home buyers, and
a marginal tax rate of approximately 30%, the lowest of all developed
market economy countries, made affordability the focus of New Zealands
housing policy.
B.
The OECD Study (1988)(5)
The OECD study dealt with
urban housing financing, particularly policies for owners and renters;
organizations and instruments for financing mortgage loans; and housing
reinvestment programs.
Owner occupation was viewed
favourably in most countries, with some, such as the United Kingdom, actively
encouraging its expansion and others, such as Canada, being more neutral
in the treatment of tenure groups. Various policies influencing tenure
choice included (i) low interest loans (Japan, Germany, New Zealand,
Sweden); (ii) tax expenditures related to mortgage loan interest payments
and imputed income (see Table 3 below); wealth and capital gains (tax-exempt
in practically all countries); property (frequent property tax breaks);
sales (sales tax exemptions of various magnitudes); and income from savings
(such as Canadas now defunct Registered Home Ownership Savings Plan).
The OECD study, after examining
the effectiveness and equity implications of these policies, concluded
that assistance should be far more selective and carefully targeted. In
many countries, relatively affluent longstanding owners were found to
be the main beneficiaries. It was suggested that a more cost-effective
approach would be to target low-income households, first-time buyers,
those with special needs, and upgraders of substandard housing. In all
cases, two complicating factors had to be noted: first, current income
might not reflect life cycle ability to pay (in other words, aid should
be related to longer-term income); and, second, income-related housing
assistance should be co-ordinated with non-income related benefits in
order to avoid creating a poverty trap (in other words, incentives should
not discourage people from giving up government support).
Table 3
Income Tax Treatment of Owned Housing
Group A
|
Group B
|
Group C
|
Finland
|
France
|
Australia
|
Greece
|
Japan
|
Canada
|
Luxembourg
|
Portugal
|
New Zealand
|
Netherlands
|
Turkey
|
|
Spain
|
United Kingdom
|
|
Sweden
|
United States
|
|
Denmark
|
Federal
Republic of Germany
|
|
Norway
|
|
|
Key: Group A = countries
that tax imputed rental income and allow tax deductions on loan interest
payments;
Group B = countries that
do not tax imputed rental income but allow tax deductions on loan interest
payments or housing costs;
Group C: countries that
do not tax imputed rental income or allow tax deductions on loan interest
payments.
Source: OECD Group
on Urban Housing Finance, National Position Papers, 1988.
With respect to mortgage
loan financing, the mortgage market experienced severe strains in the
1970s and 1980s, particularly from inflation and interest rate volatility.
The market response was to increase down payments, thus putting a heavy
burden on first-time buyers. In addition, lending institutions adopted
variable rate mortgages, long-term loans on which the interest rate changed
during the term, possibly leading to cash flow problems for low-income
households. These institutional developments, along with the rapid expansion
of secondary mortgage markets by means of mortgage-backed securities in
the United States and Canada, had made the housing market attractive to
investors with money to lend, but had also increased housing financing
costs.
The rental sector was still
large in all OECD countries, larger in fact than the owned sector in France,
Germany, the Netherlands, and Sweden. The OECD group examined the claim
that investment disincentives, misallocation of resources, inequity, and
excessive administrative costs were caused by rent controls. The OECD
study emphasized that rent control was not the single cause of all these
failings, but one of several contributing factors including: the growth
of alternative investment opportunities for small savers who might formerly
have invested in housing; the relatively unfavourable tax treatment of
rental housing investment in some countries; and growing demand for owned
and social housing. This study recommended gradual de-control and a system
of housing allowances based on household income and family size. In the
United States, reliance was found to be shifting to housing allowances
or vouchers and away from other forms of housing assistance.
The final issue addressed
in the OECD study was housing reinvestment policy. The finding was that
existing housing stock should be maintained or upgraded and spending should
be directed toward maintenance, renovation, rehabilitation, modernization,
and urban renewal. These could be cost-effective ways to meet demand for
good quality housing in areas of decay, where the cost of new building
was prohibitive. Rent control was identified as a factor accelerating
the rate of decay by reducing landlords rate of return. Many countries
(Australia, Canada, Finland, Greece, Japan, Spain, Sweden, and the United
States) provided loans for housing rehabilitation at below-market interest
rates and, in France and the United Kingdom, for example, grants to supplement
this loan assistance. Some countries allowed tax expenditures such as
deductibility of tax on housing reinvestment expenditures. Where problems
of substandard housing were more extensive, some countries (such as Portugal
and the Netherlands) acquired housing tracts in order to organize housing
reinvestment themselves. However, this approach, similar to the now defunct
urban renewal programs in the United States and Canada, was found to be
relatively expensive.
C.
The United States Congressional Budget Office Study (1988)(6)
The Congressional Budget
Office study described United States federal rental assistance to very
low-income renters at the end of the 1980s. Two basic approaches were
used: project-based assistance, which could involve new construction or
substantial rehabilitation; and household-based assistance, which provided
renters with the resources to choose rental dwellings in the existing
housing stock. Low and medium-income households also received some assistance
in becoming home owners through assistance that reduced their effective
mortgage loan interest rates to as little as 1%. From 1978-1988, however,
assistance to new home buyers decreased overall, as did production-oriented
rental assistance. By the late 1980s, greater emphasis was being placed
on existing housing and voucher programs. As well, Congress steadily shifted
funding away from new construction and toward rehabilitation. At the beginning
of 1977, 34% of all assisted households received home ownership assistance;
in 1988, fewer than 20% did so. Where rental assistance was concerned,
in 1997 13% of renters received assistance for existing housing but by
1988 this figure had increased to 34%. In addition, over the same period,
the proportion of renters receiving household-based assistance increased
from 8% to 22%.
D.
The United States National Housing Task Force Study (1988)(7)
After an intensive study
of conditions and policies in the United States, the National Housing
Task Force presented a plan to provide decent, affordable housing for
every American by the end of the century. The core of the 10-point plan
was a system to stimulate local production, renovation and conservation
of affordable housing through the co-operative efforts of federal, state
and local governments. A housing opportunity program, funded by a federal
block grant and partly matched by state and local contributions, was to
finance the construction, renovation or acquisition of up to 200,000 additional
buildings annually for low-income households. Emphasis was placed on the
existing housing stock. The federal government was also called upon to
provide adequate rental assistance to those unable to own homes. The report
was much more a statement of principles than a set of concrete proposals.
E.
The Bush Administration Proposal (1990)(8)
The Bush administration
proposal, the Home Ownership and Opportunity for People Everywhere (HOPE)
Bill, had four parts:
(i) grants to help public
housing tenants purchase their apartments, and grants to other low-income
households or non-profit groups in order to encourage home ownership;
(ii) protection of low-income
renters from sudden rent increases in federally subsidized dwellings
covered by the Congress-imposed moratorium on mortgage prepayments,
which was to expire on 30 September 1990;
(iii) rental assistance
and support services to homeless persons who were seriously mentally
ill or who had alcohol and drug problems; a demonstration program to
investigate the effectiveness of combining housing vouchers with support
services in order to help senior citizens continue to live independently;
and
(iv) designation by the
Secretary of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) of 50 Housing Opportunity
Zones, in order to encourage regulatory reform; for example, revision
of outdated building codes, designed to spur affordable housing construction.
If purchasers of dwellings
covered by this proposal decided to sell, they would be required to sell
the dwelling back to the tenant organization overseeing the project for
an amount equal to the initial down payment plus the cost of improvements
and inflation. This arrangement would allow dwellings to be sold to other
low-income households.
This bill was the subject
of intense debate and change as it made its way through Congress. Various
objections were raised to it from the start: inadequate support for low-income
renters; unfair resale restrictions; and inadequate funding.
From a conceptual perspective,
there is limited theoretical or empirical evidence that home ownership
by low-income households is viable in the long term without public assistance.
SPECIFIC
ISSUES
Thus far this paper has
addressed general housing policies for assistance to home owners and low-income
households. This paper will now address three specific aspects of housing
that are subjects of ongoing public debate: housing for senior citizens,
housing for homeless persons, and housing affordability.
A.
Senior Citizens
The aging of the population
is not a new phenomenon but public concern about it is relatively recent.
Society has always had to make provision for old age, but until the 1950s
and the introduction of the Old Age Security Act and the Old
Age Assistance Act, old age was primarily a private responsibility
in Canada. Persons aged 65 and over account for just over one in 10 Canadians
today; by 2030, this proportion is expected to rise to one in five. There
will be increasing pressure to expand available services, including housing.
Among Canadas older
senior population (persons aged 75 and over), Statistics Canada has identified
a major change in living arrangements.(9)
Since 1971, the number of older senior men and women living alone or in
institutions providing some level of custody or care has increased very
rapidly. The proportion of men living alone increased from 13% in 1971
to 17% in 1986, while the proportion of women living alone increased from
26% to 38% over the same period. The proportion of men living in institutions
has increased from 9% to 12% since 1971; the proportion of women, from
14% to 19%. It is projected that, by 2001, 35% of persons aged 75 and
over will be living alone. If the independence of these people is to be
preserved, this trend has implications for services provided to them,
such as care, security, transportation, and social support. Table 4 indicates
the relatively high proportion of income spent on housing by older seniors.
Table 4
Housing Costs as a Percentage of Household Income of Older Senior Renters
and Owners
(1986 Costs Out of 1985 Income)
|
Number of Persons
per 100 Population
Paying at Least 30%
of Income on Housing
|
Number of Persons
per 100 Population
Paying at Least 50%
of Income on Housing
|
|
Renters
|
Owners
|
Renters
|
Owners
|
Women living alone
|
52
|
21
|
20
|
5
|
Men living alone
|
46
|
15
|
15
|
4
|
Couples with no
other
household members
|
33
|
4
|
6
|
1
|
Source:
Statistics Canada, Census of Canada, 1986.
To some extent, these figures
overstate the financial burden since they ignore financial holdings and
other accumulated assets. Generally, persons aged 65 and over have more
such assets than do younger people. Of families headed by a person aged
65 or over, 80% own their homes, in comparison with 71% of all families.
Further, 91% of senior home-owner families are mortgage free, in comparison
with just 48% of all home-owner families.
CMHC is carrying out research
designed to improve senior citizens access to appropriate and affordable
housing. The term "appropriate" means that health services are
provided and social needs met; the term "affordable" means that
many senior citizens can meet their housing needs without financial assistance.
Two-thirds of persons aged 65 and over still live in their own homes,
and various approaches, including reverse mortgages, sale leasebacks,
and deferred payment loans, have therefore been suggested to allow them
to tap into their home equity. On 8 March 1990, Security Life Insurance
Company of Toronto announced the Security Life Home Equity Plan, which
allows senior citizens to use their houses as collateral to borrow money
in either lump sums or monthly payments, while continuing to live in them.
Interest payments accumulate until the home owner dies or the home is
sold. The home owner owns any growth or equity and the company guarantees
a certain amount of equity to the plan owners estate. Only proceeds
from the home can be used to pay off the outstanding mortgage; the company
absorbs the loss if the value of the home is insufficient. Revenue Canada
is to rule on whether the loan payments are tax free; its ruling on a
similar plan in British Columbia was favourable.
New types of tenure, such
as life tenancies and shared equity leases, are designed to reduce the
initial capital needed to purchase a new dwelling. The problems of poor
senior citizens without assets are quite similar to those of low-income
households in general, and similar policies will often be appropriate.
Various other options have also been suggested, including home sharing,
self-contained accessory apartments, garden suites or "granny flats,"
retirement villages, and life care facilities.
The basic issues in housing
for senior citizens are the same as those in housing for low-income households.
Does the problem lie with housing or with low income? If the government
decides that housing assistance is appropriate, what form should it take,
and what would be the constraints on resources?
B.
Homeless Persons
In 1981, during its 36th
session, the UN General Assembly designated 1987 the International Year
of Shelter for the Homeless in order to focus world attention on shelter
for the poor. Between 1981 and 1987, a number of studies were carried
out in Canada, the United States and most other countries in order to
consolidate and share new and existing information on the subject. Where
homeless persons in Canada are concerned, two fundamental questions must
be asked:
-
Who are
they?
-
Why are
they homeless?
Unfortunately, these questions
are not easily answered. Since there are no unambiguous definitions of
homelessness, it is difficult to come up with generally accepted estimates
of the numbers of homeless people and the causes of their situation. For
example, a 1988 Ontario Ministry of Housing study(10)
defined homeless persons as those living on the street and unable to find
adequate and affordable permanent accommodation. Clearly, by varying the
definitions of the terms "adequate," "affordable,"
and "permanent," a wide variety of figures can be generated.
On 22 January 1987, the
Canadian Council on Social Development (CCSD) conducted an informal survey
of 1,000 agencies such as hostels and transition facilities providing
services to persons in need of shelter.(11)
Table 5 provides information about the 7,751 persons who on that date
stayed in the 283 shelters that responded to the survey.
Table 5
Personal Situations of Persons Who Sought Shelter on 22 January 1987
Situation
|
Persons
|
% of Sample
|
Unemployed
persons
|
4,239
|
54.7
|
Recipients
of social assistance
|
3,995
|
51.5
|
Persons
abusing alcohol
|
2,580
|
33.3
|
Current
or former psychiatric patients
|
1,556
|
20.1
|
Persons
abusing drugs
|
1,163
|
15.0
|
Persons
evicted
|
726
|
9.4
|
Persons
with physical disabilities
|
237
|
3.1
|
Source: Mary Ann
McLaughlin, Homelessness in Canada, CCSD, 1988, page 5.
On the basis of this survey,
the CCSD estimated that there were between 130,000 and 250,000 homeless
persons in Canada in 1986. This figure is roughly equal to some estimates
of the total number of homeless persons in the United States, a country
with 10 times Canadas population (see Appendix II for more
details on the CCSD methodology). Since the characteristics of persons
in shelters are quite varied, it is unlikely that a single policy for
homeless persons would address all their problems. In fact, it is not
clear that housing is the issue that needs to be addressed. Similar conclusions
have been drawn in the United States.
As is the case in Canada,
homelessness has been receiving increasing attention in the United States.
A survey by the United States General Accounting Office(12)
identified various factors contributing to homelessness: alcohol and drug
abuse, increased unemployment in the late 1970s and early 1980s, inadequate
community resources for the mentally ill, increases in personal crises,
cuts to social assistance, and a decline in the number of low rental dwellings.
Except with respect to the characteristics of homeless persons, there
is very little agreement among social scientists on the relationship between
homelessness and housing markets (that is, the contribution of rent control,
low vacancy rates, or various housing policies to the problem) and whether
things are getting worse.(13)
What about the magnitude
of the problem? As in Canada, it is very difficult to come up with sound
estimates. The U.S. agency Housing and Urban Development (HUD) suggests
that there are 250,000 to 300,000 homeless persons in that country; Peter
Rossi, author of a study on homelessness, suggests there are between 250,000
and 350,000;(14) the Urban
Institute estimates close to 600,000; and advisory groups such as the
National Coalition for the Homeless estimate about 3 million. The
HUD and Urban Institute estimates are based on surveys of shelters and
soup kitchens; the estimates of Rossi and advocacy groups try to include
persons who do not use shelters. In an attempt to resolve these discrepancies,
from 6:00 p.m. on 20 March 1990 to 4:00 am the following morning,
the United States Census Bureau took a head-count of persons sleeping
in streets, alleys, doorways, and shelters. This operation counted 230,000
homeless persons, almost 179,000 in shelters and 50,000 on the street.
These figures have generated considerable controversy and to date there
have been no studies of their accuracy.
United States federal policy
response to homelessness has been primarily to supplement more substantial
state, local and private efforts. Most studies reviewed by the General
Accounting Office recommended that longer term strategies focus on community-based
services. These solutions are likely to be expensive, however, and the
effectiveness of existing programs remains to be demonstrated.
C.
Affordability
Housing affordability for
senior citizens, low-income households, and new households is the common
thread running through all discussions of housing policy. Appendix III
provides selected data on housing prices over the period 1987-1996. In
1971, in current dollars, the median value of new NHA housing was
roughly twice median urban family income; in 1989 it was about the same.
What had changed dramatically were mortgage interest rates. In 1989, the
typical mortgage interest rate on a five-year mortgage from a chartered
bank varied between 11.75% and 12.75%; in 1971, it had been approximately
9%. This approximately 3% increase in mortgage interest rates dramatically
increased the cost of purchasing a home. According to a 1985 government
paper:
Between 1971 and 1981,
when average mortgage interest rates and average home prices rose dramatically,
the percentage of renters of primary home buying age, 25 to 44 years,
able to afford the average priced home plummeted from 50% to just 7%.
Since the peaking of interest
rates in 1981, however, the average home price in Canada has risen only
slightly and interest rates have declined. In 1983, then, 28% of renters
could afford to buy the average priced home.(15)
Table 6
Percentage of Renters of Primary Home Buying Age (25 to 44 years)
Able to Afford the Average-Priced Home, Canada, 1971-1983
1971
|
50.2
|
1975
|
17.2
|
1981
|
6.7
|
1983
|
26.4
|
Source: Canada, Consultation
Paper on Housing, January 1985, Appendix I, page 15.
According to CMHC, the percentage
of renters able to afford the average-priced home without paying more
than 30% of their gross income on housing fell from 23.1% to 16.6% with
a rise in interest rates from 10% to 12%.
The Royal Bank has developed
an affordability index showing the proportion of median pre-tax household
income required to cover mortgage payments, property taxes, and utilities
for a detached bungalow. This index, based on a 25% down payment and a
25-year mortgage loan with a five-year fixed rate, was estimated on a
quarterly basis for each province and for the Montreal, Toronto, and Vancouver
metropolitan areas. The results show that affordability is extremely sensitive
to interest rates.
Table 7
Housing Affordability Index in Selected Cities (%)
Year
|
Toronto
|
Montreal
|
Vancouver
|
1981 |
64.6
|
49.0
|
84.0
|
1986 |
44.0
|
37.0
|
44.2
|
1989 |
74.5
|
47.0
|
65.0
|
1992 |
40.8
|
36.3
|
58.2
|
1997* |
34.5
|
30.0
|
49.7
|
* Arithmetic averages calculated
using the first two quarters of 1997.
Thus far, this paper has
focused on home owners, but for many persons home ownership is not even
a remote possibility. What, then, is the situation in the rental market?
In 1972, apartments made up almost half of total housing starts in Canada;
by 1988, they accounted for approximately one third. The percentage of
renters spending more than 30% of their income on housing also decreased
overall: from 22.6% in 1982, it rose to 27.8% in 1985 but fell in 1991
to 13.6%.
Affordability problems can
clearly be alleviated through some types of income transfer and rent supplement.
However, other, mostly provincial and municipal, policies significantly
affect housing costs. For example, Ontario requires municipalities to
maintain a 10-year supply of residential land for future use; to reduce
the time required to process residential applications; and to establish
policies making at least 25% of new dwellings resulting from development
and intensification affordable, that is, accessible to incomes up to the
60th percentile in the housing region. An alliance of builders has argued
that this policy is unfair to the province as a whole since the real problem
lies in the Toronto housing region. This group suggests removal of unnecessary
restrictions, unauthorized land dedication, excessive levies in municipal
planning and development approval processes, and disincentives to private-sector
production of rental housing.
In the United States, state
governments have encouraged the supply of affordable housing through innovative
land use approaches such as performance zoning, under which development
standards specify minimum or maximum effects of given uses. CMHC and the
provincial housing agencies have been studying these approaches in order
to ascertain whether they would work in Canada.
CANADIAN
HOUSING POLICY INITIATIVES SINCE 1985
After tabling no new major
housing legislation for many years, the federal government undertook the
Nielsen Task Force and consultation process in 1985. The Nielsen Task
Force on Program Review (Housing) looked at various programs and their
beneficiaries, identifying gaps and omissions and concluding that priority
with respect to social housing was being given to the supply of new dwellings
rather than the use of existing ones. However, lack of affordable existing
accommodation was the main problem facing low-income households. The Task
Force also found social housing programs to be a costly form of assistance,
entailing long-term commitments and allowing little flexibility for new
initiatives. Even if all new social housing activity had ended on 1 January
1986, 1986-1987 budget spending would still have been approximately $1.225 billion.
The Task Force concluded that social housing programs were not providing
assistance to those most in need; it recommended that the Non-Profit and
Co-operative Housing Program set up under section 56.1 of the NHA be replaced
with cost-effective alternatives, including more rent supplements, renovation
assistance for those most in need, and fully targeted assistance for small-scale
housing projects. The Task Force also recommended continued government
mortgage loan insurance and stronger federal participation in housing
research and equality of access.
The persistent budget deficits
and soaring public debt of the late 1980s forced the federal and provincial
governments to overhaul their program spending. In view of the emphasis
placed on deficit reduction, they did not make housing a focus of new
activity.
In 1990, the federal governments
Expenditure Control Plan cut planned growth in funding for new social
housing commitments by 15%, to $90 million in 1990-91 and to $86 million
in 1991-1992; in the February 1991 budget, this cut was extended through
1995-96. Then, as part of greater program restraint, the 1992 budget imposed
a 3% annual growth rate on new social housing commitments from 1992-1993
to 1996-1997, thereby cutting $622 million from social housing funding
over five years. In addition, the Co-operative Housing Program was terminated,
cutting a further $25 million from housing funding, though the government
would continue to support the 14,000 dwellings already built under
this program. It its 1993 budget, the federal government announced an
annual $2-billion ceiling on funding for social housing; any new commitments
were to be funded out of savings resulting from new efficiencies in the
funding and delivery of social housing. Clearly, the federal government
devotes considerable funding to housing, but most of this is the result
of past commitments. For example, this was the case for 95% of the approximately
$1.3 billion spent on social housing in 1986-1987.
The most notable measure
affecting the housing industry over the past decade was the Goods and
Services Tax (GST). Basically, the tax applies to all housing built in
1991 or later, and to the cost of renovations or repairs. The Manufacturers
Sales Tax, which the GST replaced, applied to housing construction inputs
and was equivalent to 4% of the price of the average new home. The government
intended that the majority of new homes would have an effective tax rate
of 4.5%; as the price of a home rises beyond $350,000, the effective tax
rate rises gradually, to 7% for homes valued at $450,000 and up. Residential
rents are tax-exempt, but materials and services used to maintain rental
buildings are subject to the Goods and Services Tax.
In recessionary times, the
federal government has frequently used the housing market to stimulate
the economy. For example, the Home Buyers Plan (HBP) introduced
in the February 1992 budget allows individuals to dip into their RRSPs
in order to buy or build a home. Up to $20,000 from existing RRSPs can
be withdrawn for a down payment on a home with no tax penalty. The money
withdrawn is to be paid back into the RRSP in equal instalments over 15
years. The plan was initially to be available until 1 March 1993 but was
extended to 1 March 1994; in 1994 it was replaced with a permanent program
now administered by Revenue Canada. By September 1997, more than 592,000
persons had taken advantage of this program.
The February 1992 budget
also announced the First Home Loan Insurance Program (FHLIP), a temporary
CMHC program halving, to 5%, the down payment required on federally insured
mortgages for first-time home buyers. This program was subject to certain
restrictions. After being renewed several times, it was replaced with
a new, permanent program allowing all home buyers, not only first-time
buyers, to obtain loan insurance with a 5% down payment.
In the 1996 budget speech,
the federal government announced that, except for programs for aboriginal
persons living on reserves and other temporary initiatives, it would gradually
withdraw from social housing. In compensation, it was prepared to give
the provinces and territories responsibility for managing existing social
housing, on condition that federal assistance for such housing would continue
to target low-income households.
The stress is now on effective
delivery of existing services and encouragement of private sector involvement
through programs such as mortgage-backed securities. Where social housing
programs are concerned, new arrangements for funding and delivery have
been negotiated with nine provinces and the two territories. Provincial
responsibilities, but not provincial resources, have been considerable
increased. Appendix I shows federal housing program activities in 1996.
Despite the announced freeze
in social housing funding, the federal government continues to introduce
temporary measures to stimulate the economy and employment in residential
renovations. In 1994, the federal government revived the Residential Rehabilitation
Assistance Program (RRAP) and the Emergency Repair Program (ERP). In January
1998, the Minister responsible and CMHC announced a five-year extension
of the RRAP and the ERP as well as the Home Adaptations for Seniors Independence
Program (HASIP).
SELECTED
REFERENCES
Canada. Consultation
Paper on Housing. 1985.
Canada. Services to the
Public: Housing. Study Team Report to the Task Force on Program Review,
1985.
CMHC. Housing in Canada
1945-1986: An Overview and Lessons Learned. 1987.
CMHC. A National Direction
for Housing Solutions. 1986.
Economic Council of Canada.
Intervention and Efficiency. 1982.
Fallis, George. Housing
Economics. Butterworths, Toronto, 1985.
McLaughlin, Mary Ann. Homelessness
in Canada. CCSD, 1988.
Miron, John R. Housing
in Postwar Canada. McGill-Queens University Press, 1988.
Ontario Ministry of Housing.
More Than Just a Roof. 1988.
OECD. Urban Housing Finance.
1988.
UN Department of International
Economic and Social Affairs. Housing and Economic Adjustment. 1988.
United States Congressional
Budget Office. Current Housing Problems and Possible Federal Responses.
1988.
United States General Accounting
Office. Homelessness: A Complex Problem and the Federal Response.
1985.
United States National Conference
of State Legislatures. State Policies for Affordable Housing: A Legislators
Guide.
APPENDIX
I:
PRESENT FEDERAL HOUSING POLICY,
MAIN PROGRAM ACTIVITIES, 1996
The overall objective of
the NHA is:
to promote the construction
of new homes, the repair and modernization of existing homes, and the
improvement of housing and living conditions.
Program Activities
in 1996
A. Market
Oriented Policies
|
$57.2 million
|
(i) Mortgage
loan insurance
|
355,099
total insured dwellings
|
(ii) FHLIP
|
138,480
households assisted in 1996; 478,868 households benefiting from
FHLIP since its inception in 1992
|
(iii) Mortgage
Backed Securities
|
$1.72 billion
in securities issued in 1996
|
B. Social
Housing
|
$1.75 billion
|
(i) On-reserve
non-profit housing
|
1,324 dwellings
|
(ii) RRAP
Owned dwellings
Owned dwellings for persons
with disabilities
Rental dwellings: 8
rooming houses
On-reserve dwellings
ERP
|
$205 million
since 1994
3,601 dwellings
650 dwellings
2,090 dwellings
773 dwellings
559 dwellings
|
(iii) Other
initiatives
|
$68.5 billion
since 1994
|
Remote
areas program
Off-reserve
On-reserve
HASIP
Improvements to rooming houses
|
272 dwellings
310 dwellings
1,722 dwellings
2,626 dwellings
|
(b) Administration
of past commitments
|
|
(i) Portfolio
management
|
Nearly
656,600 dwellings administered by CMHC including:
205,527 public dwellings
approximately 425,400
dwellings including
non-profit, co-operative,
and aboriginal housing
|
C. Housing
support
|
$11.0 million
|
CMHC holdings
|
1,822 hectares
of land managed
by CMHC in 1996
|
APPENDIX
II:
CANADIAN COUNCIL ON SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT (CCSD):
METHODOLOGY FOR STUDY OF SHELTER USE, 22 JANUARY 1987
Assumptions
The following assumptions
were made:
(i) the total capacity
of the temporary and emergency shelter system was 13,797 spaces; and
(ii) the 77% occupancy
rate of the shelters responding to the survey was applied to all other
shelters.
Implication
The total number of persons
housed on 22 January 1987 was 10,672, or 77% of 13,797.
METHODOLOGY FOR ASSESSING
THE MAGNITUDE OF HOMELESSNESS
Data
153 of the 283 shelters providing one-night shelter use also provided
data on shelter use for 1986:
- 124 sheltered 102,819 different persons;
and
- 29 provided 548,567 bed days.
Calculation
Using nightly capacity and number of persons served in 1986, CCSD determined
that the average number of persons sheltered over the year was 18.8 times
the nightly capacity.
Assumption
The rate of 18.8 applies to all beds.
Implication
A total of 18.8 times 13,797, or 259,384 different persons, spent at least
one night in a shelter in 1986.
Modification
An individual could have used more than one shelter over the course of
the year. If every person used two shelters, the number of homeless persons
drops to 129,692.
Conclusion drawn
by CCSD
Since the options
available to the homeless are few, and since many homeless people do
not use shelters, an estimated range of 130,000 to 250,000 homeless
people during the year remains conservative.
No information was provided
on the survey methodology, the characteristics of the shelters responding
to the survey about 22 January 1987, or the shelters responding to other
questions. As a result, it is not possible to draw any inferences about
statistical validity. Further, the modification and conclusion above are
pure conjecture, and no logical basis is provided for either one.
APPENDIX
III:
PRICE INDEXES FROM 1987 TO 1996
1986 Price Index =
100
Year
|
All Items
|
Housing
|
Rental Housing
|
Owned Housing
|
1987
|
104.4
|
104.5
|
103.6
|
106.2
|
1988
|
108.6
|
109.3
|
107.7
|
112.1
|
1989
|
114.0
|
115.7
|
113.2
|
120.6
|
1990
|
119.5
|
122.2
|
117.7
|
128.5
|
1991
|
126.2
|
127.9
|
121.8
|
133.0
|
1992
|
128.1
|
130.2
|
125.1
|
133.7
|
1993
|
130.4
|
132.0
|
127.8
|
134.0
|
1994
|
130.7
|
132.5
|
125.9
|
132.8
|
1995
|
133.5
|
134.0
|
131.8
|
134.8
|
1996
|
135.6
|
134.2
|
133.4
|
133.9
|
Source: Statistics
Canada, CANSIM Division; CMHC.
(1)
Calculated using an arithmetic average of construction starts between
1986 and 1996.
(2)
CMHC, Housing in Canada 1945-1986: An Overview and Lessons Learned,
1987.
(3)
Canada, Consultation Paper on Housing, 1985.
(4)
UN, Department of International Economic and Social Affairs, Housing
and Economic Adjustment, 1988.
(5)
OECD, Urban Housing Finance, 1988.
(6)
United States, Congressional Budget Office, Current Housing Problems
and Possible Federal Responses, 1988.
(7)
United States National Housing Task Force, A Decent Place to Live:
The Report of the National Housing Task Force, 1988.
(8)
"Kemp Outlines HOPE Proposal to Skeptical House Panel," Congressional
Quarterly, 17 March 1990, p 839.
(9)
Gordon Priest, "Living Arrangements of Canada's Older Elderly Population,"
Canadian Social Trends, Statistics Canada, Autumn 1988, p 26-31.
(10)
Ontario, Ministry of Housing, More Than Just a Roof, 1988.
(11)
Mary Ann McLaughlin, Homelessness in Canada, CCSD, 1988.
(12)
United States General Accounting Office, Homelessness: A Complex Problem
and the Federal Response, 1985.
(13)
Randall Filer, "What We Really Know About the Homeless," Wall
Street Journal, 10 April 1990, p. A24; and Michael H. Lang, Homelessness
Amid Affluence, Praeger, 1989, provide diametrically opposing views
of this issue.
(14)
Rossi, Peter, Down and Out in America: The Origins of Homelessness,
University of Chicago Press, 1989.
(15)
Canada, Consultation Paper on Housing, January 1985, Appendix I,
p 15.
|