PRB 98-8E
TOBACCO CONSUMPTION -
EVOLUTION AND TRENDS
Prepared by:
Claude Blanchette
Economics Division
December 1998
Over
the past 30 years, Canadians smoking habits have evolved in the general direction of
fewer smokers and lower tobacco consumption. There are, however, still disparities in
tobacco-use patterns between the sexes and among different age groups, regions of Canada,
and socio-economic and cultural groups.
The Tobacco Market in Canada
The
cigarette market in Canada has shrunk considerably over the past 16 years. While in 1982
domestic tobacco sales reached a peak of 73.2 billion "cigarette equivalents,"(1) by 1997 the figure was 49.8 billion, or a
decrease of 32%.
The
drop in daily consumption of cigarette equivalents by Canadians aged 15 and over began in
the mid-1970s, and has continued steadily ever since. Daily per capita consumption has
fallen by 50%, from 11.5 cigarette equivalents in 1973 to 5.8 in 1997.
Until
the early 1980s, the cigarette price index generally followed the same trend as the
consumer price index, although the latter increased 60% faster than the cigarette price
index between 1950 and 1980. Between 1981 and 1992, however, as a result of major excise
taxes imposed on tobacco products (see "Taxation of Tobacco Products"), the
cigarette price index shot up six times faster than the consumer price index. In 1993,
faced with a growing tobacco-smuggling problem, Canadian governments drastically cut taxes
on tobacco products, thereby lowering the cigarette price index by 37% for that year
alone.
Prevalence of
Tobacco Use
The
most recent figures, from Statistics Canadas 1996-97 National Population Health
Survey, indicate that 6.9 million Canadians (29% of the total population aged 15 and over)
smoked cigarettes regularly or occasionally in 1996. This was a reduction from 1994-95,
when the Survey found that this was the case for 31% of the total population aged 15 or
over.
In
1996, more men than women smoked (31% and 26% respectively), and male smokers smoked more
than female smokers. Although this difference between the sexes is significant, it is not
as marked as it was in 1965, when 61% of men smoked compared to 38% of women. The
difference in tobacco use between the sexes has been evening out gradually over the years,
until in 1996-97 the proportion of girls aged 15 to 17 who smoked was actually higher than
the proportion of boys in that age group who did so (29% vs. 22%).
Consumption
patterns among both male and female smokers have changed little during the past 30 years.
Over that time, the proportion of smokers who smoke more than 11 cigarettes a day has
consistently hovered around 80% for males and 70% for females. According to the 1996-97
Survey, the figure was 80% among male smokers and 60% among female smokers.
In
1965, the percentage of the population who smoked varied between 42 and 45% in all
Canadian provinces except Quebec, where the proportion was 51%. Starting in the mid-1970s,
however, the proportion of smokers began to show regional differences. These can be
grouped into three zones: the Atlantic Canada and Quebec, the Prairies, and British
Columbia and Ontario. The 1996-97 Survey showed that 30 and 32% respectively of the
population in Atlantic Canada and Quebec were smokers, 28% on the Prairies, and 20 and 25%
respectively in British Columbia and Ontario.
The
1996-97 Survey also indicated that smoking rates are inversely proportional to levels of
education. Of those who have never finished high school, 39% are smokers. This proportion
drops gradually as the level of education rises (high school, college, university), to
reach 16% among those with a university degree. There is a similar relationship between
smoking rates and income levels (probably strongly correlated with levels of education).
In the lowest income bracket, 42% smoke, compared to 20% of those in the highest income
bracket.
Significant
cultural differences emerge with respect to smoking. In 1994-95, 35% of Francophones
smoked, 26% of Anglophones, and 15% of those from other cultural backgrounds. A study
carried out by Health Canada in 1996-97 indicated that, while 32% of Canadians as a whole
were smokers, the proportion jumped to 56% for members of First Nations, 57% for Metis and
72% for Inuit.
Type of Cigarette Smoker, by Age Group,
Education,
Income, Family Type and Province
|
Sex |
Popn Estimate (000) |
Daily (%) |
Smokers Current (%) |
Former (%) |
Never (%) |
Cigarettes/day daily smokers (mean#) |
AGE GROUP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
age 12+ |
Male |
12099 |
26% |
30% |
31% |
39% |
18.9 |
Female |
12495 |
21% |
25% |
26% |
48% |
15.7 |
Both |
24595 |
24% |
28% |
29% |
44% |
17.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Age
12-14 |
Male |
580 |
** |
6% |
13% |
80% |
10.8 |
Female |
571 |
6% |
10% |
15% |
75% |
8.15 |
Both |
1151 |
4% |
8% |
14% |
78% |
9.08 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
age 15+ |
Male |
11519 |
27% |
31% |
32% |
36% |
|
Female |
11924 |
22% |
26% |
27% |
47% |
|
Both |
23444 |
24% |
29% |
29% |
42% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Age
15-19 |
Male |
1086 |
21% |
27% |
17% |
56% |
|
Female |
1025 |
23% |
31% |
21% |
48% |
|
Both |
2110 |
22% |
29% |
18% |
52% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Age
15-17 |
Male |
683 |
17% |
22% |
19% |
59% |
12.6 |
Female |
601 |
21% |
29% |
22% |
49% |
10.8 |
Both |
1284 |
19% |
25% |
20% |
54% |
11.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Age
18-44 |
Male |
10836 |
32% |
37% |
23% |
40% |
|
Female |
11323 |
26% |
31% |
25% |
44% |
|
Both |
22160 |
29% |
34% |
24% |
42% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Age
18-19 |
Male |
403 |
28% |
36% |
14% |
50% |
13.9 |
Female |
424 |
26% |
34% |
19% |
46% |
11.8 |
Both |
826 |
27% |
35% |
16% |
48% |
12.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Age
20-24 |
Male |
948 |
31% |
38% |
18% |
43% |
15.3 |
Female |
924 |
25% |
31% |
22% |
47% |
13.2 |
Both |
1873 |
28% |
35% |
20% |
45% |
14.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Age
25-34 |
Male |
2209 |
31% |
36% |
19% |
45% |
18 |
Female |
2263 |
26% |
31% |
25% |
44% |
14.8 |
Both |
4472 |
28% |
34% |
22% |
44% |
16.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Age
35-44 |
Male |
2645 |
33% |
37% |
29% |
34% |
20.1 |
Female |
2593 |
27% |
30% |
27% |
43% |
16.8 |
Both |
5238 |
30% |
33% |
28% |
38% |
18.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Age
45-54 |
Male |
1922 |
28% |
31% |
38% |
30% |
21.4 |
Female |
1849 |
23% |
25% |
29% |
45% |
17.6 |
Both |
3771 |
25% |
28% |
34% |
37% |
19.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Age
55-64 |
Male |
1231 |
23% |
26% |
47% |
26% |
20.5 |
Female |
1334 |
19% |
21% |
29% |
49% |
17.1 |
Both |
2565 |
21% |
24% |
38% |
38% |
18.8 |
Age
65-74 |
Male |
930 |
17% |
20% |
55% |
25% |
18 |
Female |
1166 |
13% |
15% |
30% |
55% |
16.1 |
Both |
2096 |
15% |
17% |
41% |
42% |
17 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Age 75+ |
Male |
549 |
11% |
13% |
60% |
26% |
17.2 |
Female |
771 |
7% |
9% |
27% |
63% |
14.4 |
Both |
1320 |
8% |
11% |
41% |
48% |
15.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
EDUCATION |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Less
than High School |
Male |
3764 |
38% |
42% |
31% |
27% |
19.8 |
Female |
3762 |
33% |
36% |
21% |
42% |
16.4 |
Both |
7526 |
36% |
39% |
26% |
35% |
18.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
High School |
Male |
4417 |
27% |
32% |
32% |
36% |
18.6 |
|
Female |
4890 |
22% |
26% |
28% |
46% |
15.3 |
|
Both |
9307 |
24% |
28% |
30% |
42% |
16.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
College |
Male |
1998 |
25% |
28% |
31% |
31% |
17.6 |
|
Female |
2137 |
18% |
23% |
25% |
42% |
16.2 |
|
Both |
4134 |
21% |
25% |
28% |
37% |
17.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
University |
Male |
1826 |
11% |
16% |
28% |
46% |
15.8 |
|
Female |
1635 |
9% |
12% |
24% |
54% |
13.2 |
|
Both |
3461 |
10% |
14% |
27% |
49% |
14.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
INCOME |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lowest |
Male |
411 |
40% |
42% |
24% |
33% |
18.1 |
|
Female |
559 |
36% |
39% |
23% |
38% |
16.4 |
|
Both |
970 |
37% |
41% |
23% |
36% |
17.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lower Middle |
Male |
966 |
35% |
40% |
28% |
32% |
19.2 |
|
Female |
1296 |
31% |
34% |
22% |
44% |
16.2 |
|
Both |
2262 |
33% |
36% |
24% |
39% |
17.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Middle |
Male |
2937 |
28% |
33% |
34% |
33% |
19 |
|
Female |
3256 |
24% |
28% |
24% |
48% |
15.8 |
|
Both |
6194 |
26% |
30% |
29% |
41% |
17.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Upper Middle |
Male |
4117 |
25% |
29% |
32% |
39% |
18.4 |
|
Female |
3845 |
20% |
24% |
29% |
47% |
15.3 |
|
Both |
7962 |
23% |
27% |
30% |
43% |
17 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Highest |
Male |
1735 |
16% |
20% |
36% |
44% |
18.3 |
|
Female |
1372 |
13% |
16% |
31% |
53% |
14.5 |
|
Both |
3107 |
15% |
18% |
34% |
48% |
16.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Not Stated |
Male |
1933 |
24% |
28% |
29% |
41% |
18.8 |
|
Female |
2167 |
19% |
23% |
22% |
54% |
15.2 |
|
Both |
4100 |
21% |
25% |
25% |
48% |
17
|
FAMILY TYPE |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Couple
with children |
Male |
6534 |
23% |
28% |
32% |
40% |
18.1 |
Female |
6036 |
18% |
21% |
25% |
54% |
15.2 |
Both |
12569 |
20% |
24% |
28% |
47% |
16.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unattached |
Male |
2822 |
25% |
28% |
33% |
38% |
18.7 |
|
Female |
2754 |
21% |
25% |
29% |
46% |
15.6 |
|
Both |
5576 |
24% |
27% |
31% |
42% |
17.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Couple Alone |
Male |
1839 |
36% |
39% |
28% |
32% |
19.4 |
|
Female |
2111 |
30% |
34% |
24% |
42% |
15.8 |
|
Both |
3950 |
33% |
37% |
26% |
37% |
17.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Single Parent |
Male |
799 |
31% |
36% |
29% |
35% |
19.5 |
|
Female |
1505 |
34% |
38% |
21% |
40% |
15.9 |
|
Both |
2304 |
33% |
38% |
23% |
39% |
16.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
PROVINCE |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
NF |
Male |
238 |
31% |
36% |
34% |
30% |
19 |
|
Female |
240 |
22% |
26% |
27% |
47% |
13.2 |
|
Both |
478 |
26% |
31% |
31% |
38% |
16.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
PEI |
Male |
55 |
35% |
40% |
28% |
32% |
21.9 |
|
Female |
57 |
18% |
25% |
28% |
47% |
17.4 |
|
Both |
113 |
27% |
32% |
28% |
40% |
20.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
NS |
Male |
376 |
30% |
35% |
32% |
33% |
20.3 |
|
Female |
399 |
25% |
27% |
30% |
43% |
15.7 |
|
Both |
775 |
28% |
31% |
31% |
38% |
18 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
NB |
Male |
310 |
28% |
30% |
35% |
36% |
20.4 |
|
Female |
322 |
24% |
26% |
25% |
48% |
16.1 |
|
Both |
632 |
26% |
28% |
30% |
42% |
18.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Atlantic |
Male |
979 |
30% |
34% |
33% |
33% |
|
|
Female |
1018 |
24% |
26% |
28% |
46% |
|
|
Both |
1998 |
27% |
30% |
31% |
39% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
QC |
Male |
3006 |
32% |
36% |
31% |
33% |
20.3 |
|
Female |
3125 |
26% |
29% |
25% |
46% |
17.3 |
|
Both |
6131 |
29% |
32% |
28% |
40% |
18.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
ON |
Male |
4571 |
23% |
28% |
30% |
42% |
18.5 |
|
Female |
4753 |
19% |
22% |
24% |
53% |
15.7 |
|
Both |
9323 |
21% |
25% |
27% |
47% |
17.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
MB |
Male |
443 |
24% |
29% |
32% |
39% |
18.8 |
|
Female |
459 |
20% |
24% |
27% |
49% |
15.7 |
|
Both |
902 |
22% |
26% |
29% |
44% |
17.2 |
SK |
Male |
395 |
24% |
30% |
33% |
37% |
18.9 |
|
Female |
406 |
25% |
29% |
27% |
44% |
15.2 |
|
Both |
801 |
24% |
29% |
30% |
40% |
16.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
AB |
Male |
1125 |
25% |
30% |
28% |
42% |
19.2 |
|
Female |
1119 |
22% |
26% |
23% |
50% |
15.6 |
|
Both |
2244 |
23% |
28% |
26% |
46% |
17.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Prairies |
Male |
1963 |
25% |
30% |
30% |
40% |
|
|
Female |
1984 |
22% |
26% |
25% |
49% |
|
|
Both |
3947 |
23% |
28% |
27% |
44% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
BC |
Male |
1580 |
22% |
25% |
35% |
40% |
18.4 |
|
Female |
1616 |
19% |
24% |
34% |
43% |
15.1 |
|
Both |
3196 |
20% |
24% |
34% |
42% |
16.6 |
Source:
Statistics Canada, Health Statistics Division, National Population Health Survey, Custom
Tabulation, 1.
(1) A "cigarette equivalent" equals
1 gram for a cigarette and 2.5 grams for a cigar; this definition is consistent with the
one used by the OECD (see OECD Health Data 1998).
|