La prévision ARMMI des séries desaisonnalisées comparée à celle des séries brutes = ARIMA forecasting of seasonally adjusted series versus unadjusted series / by Pierre A. Cholette.: CS11-614/85-9-PDF

"This paper first compares the forecasting errors recorded when an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model of Box and Jenkins (1970) is fitted to seasonally unadjusted series on the one hand and to seasonally adjusted series on the other hand. The errors are not systematically lower with seasonally unadjusted data. However, it is definitely easier to identify and fit models to unadjusted than to adjusted series"--Abstract.

Permanent link to this Catalogue record:
publications.gc.ca/pub?id=9.837672&sl=0

Publication information
Department/Agency Canada. Statistics Canada. Methodology Branch.
Title La prévision ARMMI des séries desaisonnalisées comparée à celle des séries brutes = ARIMA forecasting of seasonally adjusted series versus unadjusted series / by Pierre A. Cholette.
Variant title ARIMA forecasting of seasonally adjusted series versus unadjusted series
Series title Working paper ; 85-9
Publication type Series - View Master Record
Language Bilingual-[English | French]
Format Electronic
Electronic document
Note(s) Digitized edition from print [produced by Statistics Canada].
"Paper presented at the Third International Symposium on Forecasting, Philadelphia, June 1983, and at the 23rd convention of the Société canadienne de science économique, Trois-Rivières (Québec), May 1983."
"February 1983."
Includes bibliographic references.
Text in English and in French.
Publishing information Ottawa : Statistics Canada, 1985.
Author / Contributor Cholette, Pierre-A. (Pierre-Arthur), 1948-
Description 14 p.
Catalogue number
  • CS11-614/85-9-PDF
Departmental catalogue number 11-614
Subject terms Methodology
Statistical analysis
Request alternate formats
To request an alternate format of a publication, complete the Government of Canada Publications email form. Use the form’s “question or comment” field to specify the requested publication.
Date modified: