Flood frequency and risk / G.W. Kite. : En39-44/1974E-PDF

"Every year floods cause loss of life and millions of dollars worth of damage. The use of hydrologic forecasts can reduce this toll. While warning if impending high water is the most obvious form of forecast, the use of frequency and risk analyses at the planning stage can aid in the efficient and safe design and location of all the various structures and institutions making up today's society. In these ways the risk of flooding and its consequent losses can be minimized. This paper discusses the background and justification for probability and risk analyses and recommends the use of Specific procedures to determine plotting positions, choose a probability distribution and compute design event magnitudes and their confidence limits. Other topics discussed include the advantages of regional analysis and design procedures based on a specified project risk or hydrologic risk"--Abstract.

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