Population projections for Canada (2018 to 2068), provinces and territories (2018 to 2043) : technical report on methodology and assumptions / report written by Jonathan Chagnon, Patrice Dion, Nora Galbraith,... : CS91-620/2019E-PDF

"This report describes the methodology used to calculate the projection parameters and develop the various projection assumptions for the Population Projections for Canada (2018 to 2068), Provinces and Territories (2018 to 2043). Following the inaugural edition of this technical report, this edition provides a detailed analysis of each the components of population growth as well as a description of the methodology and assumptions for each component. In particular, Chapter 1 details a new, general approach to assumption building which was utilized for the majority of the projection components. This revised general approach was motivated largely by improvements to the expert elicitation process which informed these projections, described in Chapter 2. Subsequent chapters 3 through 8 cover the various components of population growth, one by one, in the following order: fertility, mortality, immigration, emigration, non-permanent residents and interprovincial migration"--Introduction, page 4.

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