The term structures of expected loss and gain uncertainty / by Bruno Feunou, Ricardo Lopez Aliouchkin, Roméo Tédongap and Lai Xu.: FB3-5/2020-19E-PDF

"We document that the term structures of risk-neutral expected loss and gain uncertainty on S&P 500 returns are upward sloping on average. These shapes mainly reflect the higher premium required by investors to hedge downside risk and the belief that potential gains will increase in the long run. The term structures exhibit substantial time-series variation with large negative slopes during crisis periods. Through the lens of Andersen et al.’s (2015) framework, we evaluate the ability of existing reduced-form option pricing models to replicate these term structures. We stress that three ingredients are particularly important: (i) the inclusion of jumps, (ii) disentangling the price of negative jump risk from its positive analog in the stochastic discount factor specification, and (iii) specifying three latent factors"--Abstract, page ii.

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Publication information
Department/Agency Bank of Canada, issuing body.
Title The term structures of expected loss and gain uncertainty / by Bruno Feunou, Ricardo Lopez Aliouchkin, Roméo Tédongap and Lai Xu.
Series title Staff working paper = Document de travail du personnel, 1701-9397 ; 2020-19
Publication type Series - View Master Record
Language [English]
Format Electronic
Electronic document
Note(s) Cover title.
"Last updated: June 3, 2020."
Includes bibliographical references.
Publishing information Ottawa, Ontario, Canada : Bank of Canada = Banque du Canada, 2020.
©2020
Author / Contributor Feunou, Bruno, author.
Description 1 online resource (78 pages in various pagings) : graphs (mostly colour).
Catalogue number
  • FB3-5/2020-19E-PDF
Subject terms Stock exchanges -- Econometric models -- Canada.
Rate of return -- Econometric models -- Canada.
Risk-return relationships -- Econometric models -- Canada.
Bourse -- Modèles économétriques -- Canada.
Taux de rendement -- Modèles économétriques -- Canada.
Rapport risque-rendement -- Modèles économétriques -- Canada.
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