Equity option-implied probability of default and equity recovery rate / by Bo Young Chang and Greg Orosi. : FB3-5/2016-58E-PDF
"There is a close link between prices of equity options and the default probability of a firm. We show that in the presence of positive expected equity recovery, standard methods that assume zero equity recovery at default misestimate the option-implied default probability. We introduce a simple method to detect stocks with positive expected equity recovery by examining option prices and propose a method to extract the default probability from option prices that allows for positive equity recovery. We demonstrate possible applications of our methodology with examples that include large financial institutions in the United States during the 2007–09 subprime crisis"--Abstract, p. ii.
Lien permanent pour cette publication :
publications.gc.ca/pub?id=9.830344&sl=1
| Ministère/Organisme | Bank of Canada. |
|---|---|
| Titre | Equity option-implied probability of default and equity recovery rate / by Bo Young Chang and Greg Orosi. |
| Titre de la série | Staff Working Paper, 1701-9397 ; 2016-58 |
| Type de publication | Série - Voir l'enregistrement principal |
| Langue | [Anglais] |
| Format | Électronique |
| Document électronique | |
| Note(s) | "December 2016." Includes bibliographical references (p. 14-16). Includes abstract in French. |
| Information sur la publication | [Ottawa] : Bank of Canada, c2016. |
| Auteur / Contributeur | Chang, Bo-Young. Orosi, Greg. |
| Description | ii, 21 p. : ill. |
| Numéro de catalogue |
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| Descripteurs | Assets Capital markets Pricing |
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